Can someone help me out with a link to a TIA or Bill Bored thread

[Melissa G]

on Reluctant Kerry Voters? I can't get the search button to pull it up and I need it for some research.
Thank you!
Melissa

[satya]

1. Here's one.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=377613&mesg_id=377613

You might try 'reluctant kerry responder' in advanced search.

[TruthIsAll]

2. Another

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366880

[Melissa G]

4. Thanks TIA! If you have any more thoughts on this

Please post them here or PM me .
Best,
Melissa

[Bill Bored]

3. Who, what???

In the West there were more Repukes than Crats, according to the adjusted exit polls. That's mainly what I said in a nutshell. Big swing since it was the other way around before the adjustment. Smaller but similar effects in the other regions.

Could be that when the Pukes heard their boy was going down, they came out in droves and the Kerry voters stayed home, or so we are expected to believe.

Could be there were more rBrs in the West.

Could be more vote switching there.

Who knows?

Bottom line was the exit polls seemed to be off the most in the West before the tweaking.

On edit:
Wait a minute. This doesn't make sense. The West had the biggest tweak but the state discrepancies in the West weren't that large. How come TIA?

[TruthIsAll]

5. Are you referring to these numbers?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x371584

[Bill Bored]

6. Too many numbers! Bare with me.

What I mean is this:

Party ID shift in the West was huge! 38/36 vs. 35/38 or something like that. But if you look at the individual Western states, they were all within the MOE. In 25 words or less, how is this possible?

Thanks in advance!