Bush approval/disapproval by state: clues about the fraud?

[TruthIsAll]

Like where and how much?

http://surveyusa.com/Bush50StateApproval0605.htm

Anyone care to do a multiple regression analysis of Bush disapproval (D) as a function of state exit poll (E) and recorded vote (V)?

D = aE + bV +c

Determine constants a, b, c.
Calculate R-Sq.

Correlation analysis, anyone?
Knock yourself out.

[dbackjon]

1. Very interesting

Ohio and Nevada are outliers - only 'Bush' states that have approval ratings lower than the highest 'Kerry' state.

[kster]

2. Check this out

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x1591635

[TruthIsAll]

3. BUSH IS REGRESSING MOST RAPIDLY IN THE RED STATES

BA=Bush Approval
BV= Bush vote
BP= Bush Poll

BAF = Bush approval best fitted by Multiple Linear regression
BAF =.042194-.0291BP+.790226BV


In Oklahoma, his approval rating trails his vote by 17%
Ohio by 11%
Florida by 6.5%
Calif. by 7.44%

St BA-BV BAF-BV BAF-BP
OK -17.00% -11.52% -10.52%
NV -13.52% -8.06% -7.20%
ID -13.39% -12.27% -9.38%
IN -12.61% -10.21% -8.61%
SD -12.61% -10.31% -11.94%
WY -12.41% -12.56% -11.30%
ND -11.64% -11.05% -13.41%
KS -11.63% -10.81% -13.18%
TX -11.62% -10.54% -11.92%
NC -11.00% -9.04% -5.04%

OH -11.00% -7.87% -4.77%

AK -10.92% -10.92% -6.50%
GA -10.59% -9.73% -8.14%
SC -10.59% -9.64% -5.06%
AR -10.55% -8.78% -7.63%
MI -10.48% -7.33% -6.35%
KY -10.00% -10.08% -9.08%
MS -10.00% -10.02% -6.76%
WV -9.57% -9.24% -7.42%
AZ -9.56% -8.98% -6.42%
WI -9.49% -7.55% -5.55%
UT -9.45% -13.00% -10.05%
AL -9.00% -10.71% -6.71%
TN -9.00% -9.44% -10.94%
LA -8.58% -9.47% -7.40%
DE -8.46% -6.74% -1.77%
NJ -8.46% -6.84% -5.37%
IL -8.00% -6.47% -4.47%
MO -8.00% -8.64% -7.14%
CT -7.90% -6.41% -3.01%

NY -7.82% -5.42% -1.60%

VT -7.80% -5.15% -0.35%
NE -7.68% -11.82% -7.38%
CO -7.53% -8.28% -6.65%

CA -7.44% -6.44% -8.00%

PA -7.00% -7.39% -4.04%
ME -6.92% -6.73% -6.07%

FL -6.53% -8.24% -5.21%

IA -6.51% -7.81% -6.66%
NH -6.49% -7.46% -2.57%
RI -6.39% -5.09% -1.70%
VA -5.55% -8.74% -6.23%
NM -5.51% -7.79% -5.99%
MN -5.48% -7.28% -4.29%
WA -5.46% -6.84% -5.43%
OR -5.00% -7.27% -8.07%
MT -4.20% -10.16% -10.20%
HI -2.45% -6.67% -7.92%
MD -2.43% -6.14% -5.71%
MA 1.63% -4.61% -1.24%

[bleever]

5. So, the stole a lot from the red states, and a little less (but still

hundreds and hundreds of thousands) from the blue states.

Who's gonna look at the red states?

Who's gonna look at the blue states?

Who's gonna notice?

:shrug:

[Patsy Stone]

6. I'm more disturbed that *'s approval rating

went up 5% in a month in Fla-la-la... Can this be? I wanna move. :hi:

[bleever]

8. I seriously question the approval ratings. I can't believe he's

above 40%.

Don't blame Florida -- we know FL is really a blue state.

:hi:

[TruthIsAll]

9. The theft was in both Red AND Blue states (Bush & non-partisan precincts)

The Beast was in the East

These BLUE states red-shifted:
NY, MA, PA, VT, CT, MD, MN, MI, WA, NM, FL

Kerry precincts lost votes through suppression (long lines, registration fraud) and spoiled ballots which were never counted.

Bush/non-partisan precincts used BBV to switch Kerry votes to Bush.

[LightningFlash]

16. Independant investigative citizens are the best analysts!

Once again I reccomend! :thumbsup:

[TruthIsAll]

17. Sort by deviation between LSQFT Approval and Exit Poll

Another measure of where the theft occurred, percentage wise.
This list matches very closely to the actual vote deviations
from the exit polls.

VT leads the pack.
MA 2
NY 3
PA 7
OH 11
FL 14
NC 15
etc

St	BA-BV	BAF-BV	BAF-BP

VT	-7.8%	-5.2%	-0.4%
MA	1.6%	-4.6%	-1.2%
NY	-7.8%	-5.4%	-1.6%
RI	-6.4%	-5.1%	-1.7%
DE	-8.5%	-6.7%	-1.8%

NH	-6.5%	-7.5%	-2.6%
CT	-7.9%	-6.4%	-3.0%
PA	-7.0%	-7.4%	-4.0%
MN	-5.5%	-7.3%	-4.3%
IL	-8.0%	-6.5%	-4.5%

OH	-11.0%	-7.9%	-4.8%
NC	-11.0%	-9.0%	-5.0%
SC	-10.6%	-9.6%	-5.1%
FL	-6.5%	-8.2%	-5.2%
NJ	-8.5%	-6.8%	-5.4%

WA	-5.5%	-6.8%	-5.4%
WI	-9.5%	-7.6%	-5.6%
MD	-2.4%	-6.1%	-5.7%
NM	-5.5%	-7.8%	-6.0%
ME	-6.9%	-6.7%	-6.1%

VA	-5.6%	-8.7%	-6.2%
MI	-10.5%	-7.3%	-6.4%
AZ	-9.6%	-9.0%	-6.4%
AK	-10.9%	-10.9%	-6.5%
CO	-7.5%	-8.3%	-6.7%

IA	-6.5%	-7.8%	-6.7%
AL	-9.0%	-10.7%	-6.7%
MS	-10.0%	-10.0%	-6.8%
MO	-8.0%	-8.6%	-7.1%
NV	-13.5%	-8.1%	-7.2%

NE	-7.7%	-11.8%	-7.4%
LA	-8.6%	-9.5%	-7.4%
WV	-9.6%	-9.2%	-7.4%
AR	-10.6%	-8.8%	-7.6%
HI	-2.5%	-6.7%	-7.9%

CA	-7.4%	-6.4%	-8.0%
OR	-5.0%	-7.3%	-8.1%
GA	-10.6%	-9.7%	-8.1%
IN	-12.6%	-10.2%	-8.6%
KY	-10.0%	-10.1%	-9.1%

ID	-13.4%	-12.3%	-9.4%
UT	-9.5%	-13.0%	-10.1%
MT	-4.2%	-10.2%	-10.2%
OK	-17.0%	-11.5%	-10.5%
TN	-9.0%	-9.4%	-10.9%

WY	-12.4%	-12.6%	-11.3%
TX	-11.6%	-10.5%	-11.9%
SD	-12.6%	-10.3%	-11.9%
KS	-11.6%	-10.8%	-13.2%
ND	-11.6%	-11.1%	-13.4%

[TruthIsAll]

4. THE GRAPH

[mod mom]

7. Excellent TIA! I appreciate your posts but the math is sometimes too much

for me, but this link says it so well! Will pass it around. Fight on!

[myschkin]

10. Wow

[myschkin]

11. Question

Do we also have a statistic of November ´04?

[TruthIsAll]

12. Bush approval was 48.5% on Nov.1 (average of 11 polls)

.

[GetTheRightVote]

13. I think that site says it all, * did not win the election of 2004

He never stood a chance, just more lies on top of old lies always.

:kick:

[LightningFlash]

14. Correct. But he DID win the sElection of 2004. PNAC needed him in no....

....Matter what, and signed a deal with the DLC in both 2000 and 2004 to make it go quietly. :evilgrin:

[kster]

15. KICK.NT

[tommcintyre]

18. kick - In tribute to his tremendous contributions - WHY??? :( n/t