The Election Fraud Menu: Apples, oranges and buckeyed peas

[glengarry]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3254883

[L. Coyote]

1. Kerry-Bush Vote-Switching after the Voting and before the Counting in OHIO

One of the GREEAT things about descriptive statistics is ZERO margin of error. This avoids all the debates about polling accuracy, methods, etc. PLUS, zero margin of error is just that!!

With OHIO punch card ballots (3/4 of the vote) and no precinct marks on the ballots, switching ballots from a precinct where the punch was a Kerry vote to a precinct where that punch counts as a Bush vote is only detectable using descriptive statistical analysis of the results. Recounting does nothing. And, guess what, there is a high percentage shift evidenced in this analysis, such that precinct ballot swapping seems the only explanation:

The 2004 Ohio Presidential Election: Cuyahoga County Analysis
How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes
http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html

QUOTES:

"In a subset of 166,953 votes, one of every 34 Ohio voters, the Kerry-Bush margin
shifts 6.15% when the population is sorted by outcomes of wrong-precinct voting."

"Wrong-precinct voting can occur in several ways. Voters can use their own precinct's ballot at another precinct's voting machine. Additionally, the outcome can be altered if ballots are switched to a different precinct after the voting and before the counting. This study deals with the outcome of and evidence of cross-voting and does not determine which of these methods altered the results. Wrong-precinct voting and ballot switching have the same effect, and herein cross-voting and vote-switching refers to both possibilities."

"I define "vote-switching" as major candidate cross-voting. One major candidate cross-vote changes the election margin by two votes; as one major candidate loses a vote the other gains the cross-vote. Vote-switching is distinguished from cross-voting because impact on results varies depending on for which candidate cross-votes are counted. Vote-switching results when the two major candidates are collocated in the same ballot order position, either from ballot switching between such precincts or voters cross-voting at such locations."

MUCH MORE .............

[glengarry]

2. Do you have descriptive stats for anwhere other than Cuyahoga?

There's a big world out there.

[L. Coyote]

3. Election results are available online. n/t

[glengarry]

4. What election results are you referring to?

I was referring to information analogous to your "descriptive" data. We DON'T need election "results", on a county, state or national basis. We DO need raw precinct level exit poll data. But we can't get it from the media.

What other descriptive data do you have that is analogous to Cuyahoga? If it's out there, why don't you point us to it? It seems that you focus exclusively on Cuyahoga county. That's understandable; it was the epicenter of fraud. But what about Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties? A lot of votes were stolen there. Unfortunately they were touch screen counties.

Almost 3% of the total votes cast were uncounted (see Palast and the Census Bureau). According to the Census, 3.4mm ballots were never counted. Palast determined that the number was 3.6mm (spoiled, absentee and provisionals).

TIA's analysis indicates that approximately 6.8% of total votes cast for Kerry were switched to Bush, close to the 6.15% in Cuyahoga.