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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 09:54 PM Original message |
Final State and Pre-hacked Exit Polls Match: Average Deviation = - 0.18% |
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Hobbes199 (430 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:01 PM Response to Original message |
1. Why hasn't Mitofsky stood by their results? |
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Helga Scow Stern (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:10 PM Response to Reply #1 |
2. Maybe his allegiance is more important than his rep. |
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Hobbes199 (430 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:12 PM Response to Reply #2 |
3. Could be, but... |
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sw40fsks (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:20 PM Response to Original message |
4. Which pre-election poll are you using? |
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99Pancakes (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:24 PM Response to Reply #4 |
5. Real Clear Politics |
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sw40fsks (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:26 PM Response to Reply #5 |
6. Some did, I think |
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99Pancakes (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:39 PM Response to Reply #6 |
11. Real Clear Politics |
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99Pancakes (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:40 PM Response to Reply #6 |
12. Real Clear Politics |
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Silverhair (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 07:34 AM Response to Reply #6 |
18. Yes, but Gallup allocated the undecided 90% for Kerry. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:28 PM Response to Reply #4 |
8. I used a variety of polls in the Election Model. |
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99Pancakes (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:41 PM Response to Reply #8 |
13. Yes, so did I. nt |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:34 PM Response to Reply #4 |
10. Which finals? Earlier exit polls or those fixed to match the hacked votes? |
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newyawker99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 06:40 PM Response to Reply #4 |
29. Hi sw40fsks!! |
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BlueDog2u (692 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:26 PM Response to Original message |
7. Kick! |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:30 PM Response to Reply #7 |
9. I'll let others decide if it's useful. |
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bleever (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:46 PM Response to Original message |
14. Zogby, electoral-vote.com, and other uber-pollsters and oracles |
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bleever (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-18-04 10:50 PM Response to Reply #14 |
15. And let's not forget, we could tell that B* knew it too! Karen Hughes |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 07:24 AM Response to Reply #15 |
16. Why would they reveal that Hughes sat down with *? |
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bleever (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 12:48 PM Response to Reply #16 |
20. My take is that this was an actual leak, and that the later |
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Silverhair (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 07:32 AM Response to Original message |
17. Take a look at this Mason-Dixon site. |
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goldengreek (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 01:05 PM Response to Reply #17 |
22. If I understand TruthIsAll correctly... |
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Silverhair (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 02:08 PM Response to Reply #22 |
23. I used the one with the best long term record of accuracy. |
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goldengreek (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 02:57 PM Response to Reply #23 |
24. Thanks, Silverhair. |
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Silverhair (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 03:34 PM Response to Reply #24 |
27. We can win. |
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farmbo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 10:02 AM Response to Original message |
19. Why not hire Zogby to do some 'after polls' in key areas? |
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goldengreek (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 12:54 PM Response to Original message |
21. Fire at will! |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Nov-20-04 08:48 PM Response to Reply #21 |
33. Pray to the Greek Gods of Homer. |
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Goldeneye (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 03:11 PM Response to Original message |
25. How close are the final pre-election polls |
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Zan_of_Texas (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 03:25 PM Response to Original message |
26. Help. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 04:49 PM Response to Reply #26 |
28. This will clear up the calculation of the state deviations. |
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Zan_of_Texas (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-19-04 09:54 PM Response to Reply #28 |
30. Okay. Let's talk about math language. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Nov-20-04 09:11 AM Response to Reply #30 |
31. The difference is the deviation: A-B. The standard deviation is.. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Nov-20-04 12:54 PM Response to Reply #31 |
32. Kicking my own post |
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