The BEST of the DU Analyses (KEEP KICKED PLEASE!)

[IndyOp]

Many of us agree that we MUST get the BEST of the DU Analyses off the discussion boards and into the hands of people who might be influenced by them --

In the past few days there have been at least 5 different DUers who have asked for help putting together a complete set of DU Analyses to post on a website or to print out to sent to everyone (media, congress, potential leaders). I definitely don't have all of the DU analyses - but I have a bunch listed below (thanks to Eloriel and friends!). They are listed by author - and authors are in no particular order. I will try to put these in a more logical arrangement (by type of analysis or by state) when I can.

In the meantime PLEASE email me if you know of analyses I should add to this list !

===================================================

There are already a number of websites that include DU analyses. Three of the best:

Did your vote count? <http://shadowbox.i8.com/stolen.htm>

Wikipedia
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities#Evidence_of_electronic_voting_bias>

Election Investigation Library
<http://forum.rasgroup.com/rasforum/>

===================================================

POINTS OF LIGHT
Miami Herald article shows that Kerry may have won Florida!
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x91921>

===================================================

LAWYERS IN OHIO (ARNEBECK, COMMON CAUSE)
Prima Facie Evidence for Ohio -
Kerry Supports Ohio Vote Investigation, Jackson says
<http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2004/944>

===================================================

INDIGOBLUE
Bingo! Prima Facie for New Mexico Part 2 - More Evidence!
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=96041>

===================================================

IGNATZMOUSE

Trail of Electronic Voting Uncovered: A Summary (North Carolina) – ignatzmouse (11/23)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=45003&mesg_id=45003>

Weird Arizona GEMS results
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x80275>

==================================================

VET6569
Election results and registration statistics from Florida, Pennsylvania, and Nevada by "vet6569" < http://findtruthnow.blogspot.com/ >

====================================================

RICHARD HAYES PHILLIPS, PhD

Compelling: Ohio recount: Stealing votes in Columbus-- INVESTIGATE DAMSCHRODER
<http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/30/71935/724>

Ohio Recount:OHIO TURNS WHITE, FALLS INTO UNDECIDED COLUMN
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/ohio.htm

Ohio Recount: A Summary of Where we Stand
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/summary.htm

Ohio Recount: Stealing Votes in Cleveland
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/cleveland.htm

Ohio Recount: Stealing Votes in Columbus
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/columbus.htm

Ohio Recount: Favoritism in the Suburbs
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/suburbs.htm

Ohio Recount: Bulletin -- Warren County
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/warren.htm

Ohio Recount: Not Counting the Votes
http://web.northnet.org/minstrel/not.htm

====================================================

LOSTNFOUND

FL - Pinellas County Precinct Analysis (Bubble Chart) (11/23)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x72247>

====================================================

DOYOUEVERYWONDER

Pinellas County FL - Changed their results AFTER vote certified (11/23)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x74624>

How did Betty Castor beat John Kerry in FL? (11/20)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=65690>

Busting the Dixiecrat myth
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=44792&mesg_id=44792>

====================================================

TENNISGUY2004

The "shift" from 2000 in 2004 (based on alleged "results") (11/21)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x67284>

More Interesting Ohio Data... please read (11/23)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x72439>

====================================================

JPJONES

What's the deal with Shelby County, Ohio?
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x78925>

====================================================

RONBRYNAERT

50 States Mislead Their Voters Part 1: Alabama
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=75308#75314>

50 States Mislead Their Voters Part 50: Wyoming
<http://watchingthewatchers.org/index.php?p=176>

====================================================

ALTHECAT

2004 Exit Poll "Red Shift" As Seen In Vote Numbers (11/20) <http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=65312>


George Bush's 8 Million New Votes Found - Althecat (11/4)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=19390>

Important! - you really need to contact Althecat to get summary of her overall analysis and all of the individual states that are being analyzed - I list the ones I was able to find here:

Arizona – mulethree, chriscol
Florida – althecat, Expat_Kristen
Pennsylvania – mulethree, chriscol
New Jersey – madrigal
Tennessee – SmokingJacket
New York – madrigal, mulethree
New Hampshire – mulethree
Illinois – bleever
Massachusetts – skids

====================================================

INDYOP
Siphoning Votes from Democrats to Third Party Candidates
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=87168>

====================================================

WHOWANTSTOBEOCCUPIED

Voting irregularities index "winners": AZ, GA, LA, OH, PA, NM, FL, DC, CO by WhoWantsToBeOccupied (11/26)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x80608>

Bush did better than exit polls in states with most voting irregularities by WhoWantsToBeOccupied (11/26)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=80994>

====================================================

FAUNOTTER

Exit polls analysis versus reported vote count - Faun Otter (11/3)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x11874>

====================================================

TRUEHAWK

Ohio counties w Registration exceeding 100% of the voting age population (11/20)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=65226>

====================================================

TRUTHISALL

ASSUME WE FLIP A COIN 50 TIMES... (11/21)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=68331>

EXIT. POLL. DEVIATIONS. ALL. FAVORED. BUSH. IN. NON-PAPER. BALLOT. STATES (11/6)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x2618917>

BASED ON EXIT POLLS, THE PROBABILITY KERRY WOULD LOSE OH AND FL = 0.15% (11/7)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=108&topic_id=116736>

1 IN 128:THE ODDS EXIT POLLS IN 7 NON-PAPER STATES WOULD ALL GO TO B (11/7)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=108&topic_id=116738>

1 of 187 mil: Odds 7 of 18 states deviate beyond exit poll MOE to Bush (11/10)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=2469>

ONE OUT OF 4.5 BILLION! (11/26)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x79760>

STATE RED SHIFT PROBABILITIES: EXIT POLLS TO ACTUALS (11/21)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x67560>

Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals: ONE Graph. Look Close (11/24)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x75423>

THE RED SHIFT TO BUSH: YOU HAVE NEVER SEEN IT LIKE THIS... (11/25)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x79036>

Exit Polls MATCHED Pre-Election polls within 1/9th of ONE percent (11/17)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=4204>

Let's clear up misinformation about Polling Margin of Error (11/17)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=4243>

EXIT POLL (4PM PRE-HACK) ELECTION MODEL: KERRY 311 EV, 50.6% POPULAR VOTE (11/17)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=4023>

Battleground State Exit Polls: Prob Kerry>50%: 99.998% ( he got 48.87%) (11/7)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=1875>

REVERSE the media SPIN: Kerry's 2-Party% vs. Bush- Exit Polls vs. Actuals (11/8)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=2088>

What's the Matter With Kansas? Absolutely nothing. Blue Shift to Kerry: 2.4% (11/22)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=69907>

====================================================

POBEKA

Pobeka's Complete tabulation:voting methods/vendors by population in state (11/25)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=201x5446>

What the UC Berkeley study means for Florida (11/23)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=201x5251>

Florida voting trend analysis 1996-2000 vs 2000-2004 (11/13)
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=201&topic_id=3372>

====================================================

BERNIEW1

Unusual Voting Patterns in Touchscreen Counties and a Few of the Big Optical Scan Counties in Florida
http://www.flcv.com/fla04EAS.html

Vote Suppression, Equipment Glitches, Irregularities, Fraud in Swing States
http://www.flcv.com/votefrau.html

[Bucky]

1. Excellent resource

thanks

[berniew1]

54. Here's a good source of info on voter suppression and irregularities

www.votersunite.org/electionproblems.asp?sort=date&selectstate=OH&selectproblemtype=ALL

[Duncan]

74. How does one "kick"? n/t

[YellowDoginthehouse]

2. Did anyone send the above post in its entirety...

...to anyone in the media? To the Greens? To Nader? To Arnebeck? To Jesse Jackson?

[sabra]

3. Eloriel could probably help you with this n/t

[Patsy Stone]

4. I don't know if this will help -- from kos

http://www.dkosopedia.com/index.php/2004_Ohio_Irregularities

Tunesmith's been pretty good about keeping it updated, but it is not statistical analysis, per se.

[Chili]

5. thank you for this thread...

...I have been totally unable to keep up with all the analyses, they're ongoing in multiple drawers... so this is a great help, I'll post the link to this right now...!

[Cocoa]

6. I'm curious about these massive posts

these massive "master compendiums" to other "master lists" and such. And I'm wondering about the brains of people that could find these useful for anything.

What is it about such a brain that would not simply be confused by this stuff, like I am. Are they on crack? Or am I?

Or call me crazy, but is confusion the real objective here, just messing with our heads.

[Chili]

10. simple:

Don't read them.

Some people find them helpful. Why insult them?

[Cocoa]

13. of course it's all just noise

being sold as signal.

the whole concept of "kicking" captures that in a nutshell. A kick says absolutely nothing, but it shoves the empty useless thread ahead of the ones where people are saying things for real.

[TruthIsAll]

35. Cocoa, you have always had a hard time assimilating information

presented by researchers at DU.

Why should this be any different?

[understandinglife]

7. Kick and placed links at dKos

"Halt, Audit & Prove My Vote Counts, Now"

Suggested everyone take a hard look at the rather lame article in the Boston Globe:

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/president/articles/2004/12/01/voting_errors_tallied_nationwide/

Folk here might consider informing them that their paragraph:

"Those who believe that either or both of the past two presidential elections were manipulated by a vague conspiracy to elect Bush have done statistical analyses of voting patterns in Florida and argued that the voting discrepancies were much larger and systemic, but their studies have not stood up to scrutiny from academics and other analysts."

IS BULLSHIT.

[dzika]

8. kick n/t

[YellowDoginthehouse]

15. Thank you, understandinglife!

Hey, I saw the complaints on Kos about you and markusd posting so much info on this subject. Just ignore the complainers, they are massively outnumbered by those of us who really appreciate your work!

THANK YOU!

[understandinglife]

21. Thank you & 'complainers' can complain all they want...

....I'm on a mission and it is far from accomplished! ;-)

Peace.

"I Declare The Election Invalid: Someone I do not know was prevented from voting"

[YellowDoginthehouse]

9. Add True's graphic to this list

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x97217

[YellowDoginthehouse]

11. kick

:kick:

[keepthemhonest]

12. wow thanks for putting that together for everyone

definately keep it kiccked lots of resources here.


I was just trying to search through pages and pages to see if anyone has looked at the amount of new voters in ohio compared with the amount of votes for bush and Kerry?

My brother did some calculations on it and found that BUSH got more than 100% YES MORE THAN 100% in some cases. THis seems very important and I want to get it inot the right hands.If nobody else has calculated it up yet.

[YellowDoginthehouse]

14. kick

kick

[verdalaven]

16. kick

:kick:

[Eloriel]

17. Superb -- absolutely superb

Grouches' complaints notwithstanding. :evilgrin:

Thanks for doing this.

[Eloriel]

57. A couple of additions

New Mexico Was Blue: 18,659 Missing E-Votes (ignatzmouse)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=114995&mesg_id=114995
and: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=201x6756

FL: New statistical analysis?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x115442
Link: http://liberty.hypermart.net/voices/2004/text/Comparison_of_Democratic_and_Republican_Populations_and_Vote_Counts_in_Florida_from_2000_to_2004.htm

[november3rd]

18. This is great. Thanks

Here is a site off the web that has an "encyclopedic" collection. I don't think it is as comprehensive as wikipedia, but it might be.

[indigoblue]

19. kick

Thank you!

:kick:

[mak3cats]

20. Kick... (Appreciate all the work!) eom

[skids]

22. The BEST? Or ALL... yikes.

One thing DU really lacks is a real rating system. (At least, I don't think there is one. I'm a n00b here.)

Rating systems tell you two things. One is which articles DU folks thought it was most worth their time to read.

The other is which articles DU folks thought it was most worth their time to read.

The difference? You get to see which articles are probably pretty good AND you also get to make your own decision as to which articles are the best, and as such, you develop an understanding of where your fellow DUers may be missing an important argument or article.

The number of comments in an article says nothing about how good that article is, and kicking, well, that's a pretty lousy wayto do it.

[IndyOp]

25. The truth is even worse than you may already think...

I didn't use any selection criteria to determine what was "BEST" -- other than the ones I liked. I wish we had a 'stable platform' on which all of the analyses could remain so that we could get people to rate them for quality - but each article disappears pretty quickly. So my list is really meant to be 'complete' and people (especially those who want to print analyses to get them to media/politicians or post them on a website) can sort them based on their own criteria for quality.

If you want to help... I am open to that!

:)

[Pooka Fey]

23. kick

[truehawk]

24. kick

[masshole1979]

26. I don't think Miami Herald article should be in there...

...correct me if I'm wrong, but if you read to the end of the thread, when they finally got the missing numbers out of the Herald reporters, it turned out it didn't show fraud, just really bad reporting.

Or did they re-figure it out? That thread was so confusing for someone like me.

===================================================

POINTS OF LIGHT
Miami Herald article shows that Kerry may have won Florida!
<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph... >

===================================================

[RaulVB]

27. Kick

[Chasing Dreams]

28. kick

[TruthIsAll]

29. You should add this one

ONE IN 4.5 BILLION? IT'S ACTUALLY MUCH, MUCH WORSE THAN THAT.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x86863

[TruthIsAll]

60. Let me add a revision to post # 29 and a new one.

Revised: 1 in 13.5 TRILLION - the odds that Bush would gain more than the calculated MOE in at least 16 states.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x108448

ZERO: probability that Bush would gain more than an assumed 2% Exit Poll MOE in at least 23 states.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x112108

[snot]

30. Thanks; New Post; Dates

Thank you for this valuable effort.

If/when you do an updated compilation, I hope you'll put it in a new post--maybe add a link to the new post in this thread.

It might be helpful to add dates when info/articles were originally posted, if possible, so folks can easily spot what might be new to them. Maybe you could do this on a going-forward basis; I understand probably too much work to go back and get the dates of all the old items.

[KoKo]

31. Kick...keep sending this to Media....

[floridadem30]

32. Great work. Kick

[keepthemhonest]

33. kick it

:bounce: :dem: :toast: good usefull thread

[Wordie]

34. Kick

[keepthemhonest]

36. KICKIN' n/t

[keepthemhonest]

37. ow my toe ,kick

[mak3cats]

38. Kick!! (eom)

[november3rd]

39. This is one of the top compendiums

I have an irrepressible urge to sneak outside links in, though. I'm controlling it at this moment.

[StephanieMarie]

40. What Colin Powell said today

as quoted by George Will in his op-ed:

“Corrupt elections cannot create legitimate governments” … and … “we cannot accept this result because there has not been an investigation of the numerous and credible reports of fraud and abuse.”

Of course, he was referring to the Ukraine. Oh well.

[keepthemhonest]

41. seriously

does anyone know if anyone has crunched the numbers in ohio like this before

over 100%of new voters in OHIO in some counties going for bush. I want to make sure that some one important is already working on it

please someone

[Eloriel]

42. Back to Page 1

from page 4.

SOMEbody hasn't been doing their kicks. Tsk tsk! :evilgrin:

[scurvy_n_disastrous]

43. kick. n/t

[north houston dem]

44. kick n/t

[keepthemhonest]

45. kick it

i finally found what i was loooking for in all of those thread OMG

[kimpossible]

46. Kick! nt

[goclark]

47. This needs kicks and emails!

[Kellis]

48. Kick!!

:kick:

[DrDebug]

50. Kick n/t

[newyawker99]

51. Hi DrDebug!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[keepthemhonest]

49. kick it

:kick:

it's friday it's friday

we have lot's of good news lately,snowballing i'd say

Northnet.org above needs people's help with spreadsheets,by county please contact him

[Laura PourMeADrink]

52. This is Wonderful - and I know tons of work, thank you -

[Shalom]

53. KICK THE BUSH BEAST IN THE BUTT !!! N/T

[AzDar]

55. We are brilliant here, no? kick n/t

[verdalaven]

56. Kick

[ccarter84]

58. kicky

:kick:

[skids]

59. Not "DU" analysis but Liddle is up to two now.

She deserves a section.

The original florida opscan study (Mittledorf introduction page):

http://ustogether.org/election04/mitteldorf/Liddle.htm

An expansion of prior work on the Ohio "bottleneck effect":

http://ustogether.org/election04/liddle/FranklinCountyReport.pdf

[Hobbes199]

61. Kick.

[neversaynever]

62. kick

[neversaynever]

63. kickass

[neversaynever]

64. (keep)Kickin(ass)

[neversaynever]

65. (untilthecrookis)KICKED(out)

[neversaynever]

66. kick

[neversaynever]

67. kick

[neversaynever]

68. kick

[neversaynever]

69. kick

[Peace Patriot]

70. kick and more...

I would like to see this as a permanent feature, so that all new readers can get to this info right away from the front page. I think we're going to have A LOT of new people seeking information on this issue, in the next couple of weeks, from the totally uninformed to the very knowledgeable with expertise. Make it as easy as possible for them to find it!

I did a 6 page summary about a week ago--describing the evidence I knew about, as it stood then, inclu refs to orig. docs and more info, and inclu some simple background on e-voting and on the current situation (f.i., that Kerry can unconcede--things a lot of people don't yet know)--and a lot of people found this summary helpful, esp. people who don't have time to find all this for themselves. I will go through this compendium (which has a number of things I didn't even know about), re-write the summary, and post it in this forum for criticism (and for anyone to use).

Thanks so much for this compendium! It is a very great help!

I agree with all the additions suggested above.

[HEAVYHEART]

71. Good deal! Kick!

[proudbluestater]

72. KICK!

[Matilda]

73. Kick!

[SheepyMcSheepster]

75. kick

[MonkeeMon]

76. kick

kick

[alevensalor]

77. kick

:kick:

[Trillo]

78. kick

[AnIndependentTexan]

79. kick

[november3rd]

80. This is good

Let's keep this in the top of the list

[proud patriot]

81. bookmarked this thread

lots of info :-)

[tll]

82. kick

[VTGold]

83. kick

[MonkeeMon]

84. Posting it in demopedia?

kickin'