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This list of scenarios isn't exhaustive, so please feel free to post your own scenarios too, but I'm still hoping for readers of this thread to vote for what they consider to be the most plausible among the available choices in the poll.
Rather than make the poll choices excessively wordy, I'll make the choices terse with more complete explanations of each choice below.
(1) You create your own reality (solipsistic version): You are personally totally responsible for everything that happens in your life. Even if you get cancer, or your whole family dies horribly while you watch, you wanted or "needed" to have that experience. Other people are just props in your reality.
(2) You create your own reality (magical coordination version): Other people are just as real as you are, and everyone is creating the reality they want, and somehow, someway, the pieces all magically fit together so everyone is getting just what they want or need at the same time. When two people apply for a job, regardless of how much either says they want or need the job, only one of them is speaking the truth. The other person didn't really want the job, and when a fit of desperation and depression over finances drives the person who didn't get the job to kill his children before killing himself, the children just happened to have been looking for the experience of being killed by a parent -- everybody gets what they want in the end.
(3) Human/sentient minds collectively create reality: Reality is still all in our minds, but it's the collective force of multiple minds that matters. Something like numbers of people who want or believe different things, or strength of will, or training in mystical knowledge, determines the shared reality outcome.
(4) What God wants happens, with everyone's best interests in mind: Kind of like (1) or (2), but with a big powerful all-knowing, all-wise Deity in the driver's seat. Horrible stuff still happens, but trust Him, He's got a Plan.
(5) What God wants happens, with devoted followers getting the best deal: Like (4), but with a God who plays favorites.
(6) What God wants happens, with human outcomes pretty much irrelevant: Like (1), but we all get to be irrelevant props in God's game.
(7) Shit happens: Humans have some control over what happens in their lives, and while attitude and belief can effect outcomes, they are far from all-powerful influences. We get just as much control as our bodies manipulating the surrounding environment can produce. The universe is otherwise indifferent to human desires, doesn't have plans for us, and doesn't organize experiences into lessons designed for our "personal growth". There are "reasons" things happen as they do, but the reasons are physical laws, not, say, teaching you the meaning of love or showing you how you're strong enough to make it on your own.
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