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Cotto and Pacquiao are two of the top fighters today. I have a great deal of respect for both of them. They are both gifted athletes, who conduct themselves in a manner outside of the ring that does the sport proud. They are also both extremely popular, and so their fight will definitely be a PPV event.
Cotto holds the WBO welterweight title. Previously, he held the WBA welterweight title. He has never been, of course, the actual world welterweight champion, as that title belonged to Mayweather.
He was the world junior welterweight champion (aka "super lightweight"). He is an intense fighter, who spent most of his time in the lower weight as an aggressive fighter who wore opponents down, and usually stopped top guys in the later rounds. He was never an extremely hard puncher, but he was strong, hit fairly hard with great accuracy, and had a beautiful left hook to the body. But when he moved up, his power didn’t translate to the bigger class. He began to rely more on his boxing skills, which are considerable. However, the welterweight class has a number of extremely talented punchers and boxers. Thus, while he usually wins, he has been getting cut, and hurt. And he suffered his first loss.
When he fought Antonio Margarito, it was a war. Margarito was able to move Cotto backwards, and that just isn’t Miguel’s game. Margarito stopped him in 11 rounds, after decking him twice. Cotto told the referee he was unable to continue – a smart move, but one that rabid fans disapprove of and rarely forgive.
Since then, Cotto has won two fights. The first was a soft tune-up; the second was a war. But Cotto won an unpopular decision, though he was cut and hurt badly. The fellow he fought, by the way, is tough-as-nails, and also happens to be a light heavyweight who can cut weight ….but with weigh-ins held 36 hours before a fight, boxing has changed for the worse. Some fighters put on 18 lbs between weighing in and entering the ring.
Pacquiao started his career at 107 lbs. He was good, but got KOed twice, both times in the second round. As he moved up in weight, he improved considerably. He won the flyweight title; the junior featherweight title; the featherweight title; a welterweight title; and then a junior welterweight title. He was involved in some of the most intense series of ring wars in recent years; he drew with, then decisioned Juan Manuel Marquez, who will be fighting Mayweather in September (many boxing experts felt Marquez won both fights).
A couple years ago, he hired Freddie Roach as his trainer. Roach is among the very elite trainers. He improved Manny by 200%. I don’t mind saying that I’ve been surprised how much better he is today, than 18 months ago. And in his last two fights, he destroyed bigger opponents who are among the greats of our era – though neither are "all-time" great fighters. He TKOed Oscar de la Hoya, then KOed Ricky Hatton.
Cotto is only a ½ inch taller; their reach is equal, at 67". Hatton is faster, and his power is enhanced by his speed and accuracy. Plus, Freddie studies his opponents, and trains Manny to expect exactly what he will face in the ring. Cotto has slowe down, cuts easily, and has absorbed a lot of punishment lately. He has recently split with his trainer (his uncle), and he is probably finding better qualified help in Florida. One thing for sure: Cotto is as dirty of a fighter inside the ring as I have ever seen, and that can always change the dynamics in the ring.
In my opinion, Cotto is among the great fighters of our era, but not among the "all time." Pacquaio is without any question among the "all time" great fighters. He will probably cut and TKO Cotto.
That will set up the biggest fight in boxing: Pacquaio and Mayweather. And that is going to be a hell of a fight.
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