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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 04:48 PM
Original message
NFL Super Bowl Pick (with point spread)
Edited on Wed Jan-27-10 04:49 PM by Auggie
Opening spread of 5.5 seems to be holding -- let's begin. Picks are due before kick-off, Sunday February 7th.

FAVORITE / Spread / Underdog

INDIANAPOLIS / 5.5 / New Orleans

Auggie picks New Orleans.


Usually I would take the quarterback with more playoff experience. But I like the aggressive defense New Orleans has been playing in the post season plus the balanced offense they've played all year long. Both teams have had success playing on grass so I don't think that will be a factor. 5.5 points is out of my comfort zone in a game featuring these two -- so I'll pick the underdog Saints. Besides, I really want them to win.

STANDINGS

After 20 weeks Condem and JonLP24 are tied in the total standings at 131 wins and 119 losses. That is amazing. The winner will receive absolutely nothing unless you believe a years worth of bragging rights in this forum is something of value (if you do believe that, please seek help).

In the playoffs JonLP24 and joeybee12 are tied at 7-3 with Forkboy one game behind at 6-4. It's possible you three could tie here as well.

If any four of you want to be crowned the definitive winner in your respective division I suggest you post the total number of points you think will be scored in the game along with your pick. No over/under -- just the total number of points scored by both teams. First to post gets that number. If someone already has already taken your number choose another. If you have a better idea let me know.

Thanks for playing along this year. Final thanks to JonLP24 for suggesting and keeping a running tally of results. It added immeasurable value.
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. It was a great season
As you know I'm waiting for Condem so I can pick the opposite. I'll have full standings next week because I have time and the break would be nice. :) Good work with including first and second places for the standings. :thumbsup:
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. I'm kinda amazed I'm doing so well in the playoffs...I've been picking teams I WANT
to lose so if I pick them to win, it'll jinx them. That said, I gotta think through my final pick so that Satan does not triumph.
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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
3. Colts...and I'll give 17
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 09:09 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think Fork is only one back for the entire season.
I think deserving of a mention. Now, Jon, I never pick until the final moment. But I will give you a clue. The QB is named after a Civil War Vet.
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-27-10 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Alright I'm counting on you to not change your mind
Saints, Colts win by 5. 35-30, 65. :)
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-28-10 10:03 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. Apologies Forkboy...
Condem is right. You're still in this thing and could win it all. Please add a total number of points scored to your pick.
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-28-10 07:22 AM
Response to Original message
6. I have it on good authority, that our illustrious President....
checks in on the DU Sports Forum picks before making his. Now. Why the fuck would I make something like that up??? I put it to you, Greg.
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PVnRT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-28-10 10:55 AM
Response to Original message
8. I don't think the Saints defense can hold up
1. Peyton Manning torched one of the best pass defenses in the league last weekend. The Jets only allowed eight touchdown passes all year. Manning threw three.

2. Against the Jets, the Colts running game was actually respectable, a welcome change. Shockingly, the Colts defense managed to shut down the one of the best running attacks in the NFL this year.

3. BrettFavre put up 300+ against that Saints defense, and, frankly, the main reason the Vikings lost at all are turnovers, which are death in the postseason. It seems most of the turnovers by the Vikings were of the unforced variety, rather than an aggressive defense.

4. About the only way that the Saints can win is to take advantage of an average Colts pass defense, which has allowed a quarterback rating of around 80. Brees did not put up great numbers against the Vikings, who had one of the worst pass defenses the entire season.

I think the Saints may make it close, but Indianapolis is the safe bet.
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-28-10 12:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Well, I got to take the Colts.
Thanks for doing this all year Auggie, and thanks to Jon for keeping score. Picking the games always makes each week a little more fun! :toast:

Oh, and 51 points....because that was Butkus' number. I know that has nothing to do with either team, but Butkus is still my favorite player. :)
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-28-10 12:27 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Hell, it's because you like the name...
it sounds kinda naughty!
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #10
23. You gonna tell him that, or you want me to do it?


:)
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-04-10 03:46 PM
Response to Reply #23
26. Naw, have him tell me...what nursing home did he retire to in 1980?
He's like about 400 years old now, right?
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-30-10 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
11. Kick
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many a good man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-30-10 05:12 PM
Response to Original message
12. My heart says Saints
My brain says Colts. Have to go with the heart on this one.
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-30-10 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
13. Colts and Over.
New Orleans doesn't have the defense to stop Manning and the Colts. They're going to get ripped.
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-30-10 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
14. Saints 5 Colts 2
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-30-10 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. So bet the under? -56?
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 07:03 AM
Response to Original message
16. Onside kick
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. Recovered by the kicking team!
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. Unnecessary roughness/late hit by the receiving team
:evilgrin:
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 12:12 PM
Response to Original message
18. Going with the Saints mainly because my rivals are going with
the Dolts. I think I'm gonna be wrong, but this will ensure there will be an outright playoff winner. I guess for points I'll go with 57.
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 01:03 PM
Response to Original message
20. UPDATE: There's been a half point change
Now it's Indianapolis -5. Probably because of Freeney's uncertain playing status.

I'm sticking with the Saints.
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-04-10 03:38 PM
Response to Reply #20
25. Hmmm
Edited on Thu Feb-04-10 03:39 PM by JonLP24
My overall score is currently a push(35-30 Colts) So I'll go with 35-31(66pts) Colts. In other words still taking the Saints/Under.
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Hokie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #20
30. My heart says Saints but I will take the Colts and lay the points
I think Manning will just outscore them.
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Jack Rabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
21. JR says the Saints (45 moves or less)
!!
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-03-10 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Fullback 1 to Queen's Rook 8.
Hey, just because I don't comment on chess doesn't mean I never played the damn game. ;)
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Jack Rabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-04-10 12:16 AM
Response to Reply #22
24. That's an illegal move
The tight end is already at QR8.
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 04:38 AM
Response to Original message
27. Kick
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CBR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 08:26 AM
Response to Original message
28. I am going with the Saints. I have to. I want them to win too much! nt
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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 09:07 AM
Response to Original message
29. How 'bout the Colts 34-28 in OT.
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
31. Standings
The playoff standings are ranked by most wins, than best record with those wins such as (3-1) tops (3-3). The overall standings are based on winning percentage, those below the line didn't play enough weeks to qualify, playoffs count as 1 week because of the limited amount of games. Also sorry I took so long, I was stalling.

Playoffs

Rk Member (REC)
1. joeybee12 (7-3)
2. JonLP24 (7-3)
3. Forkboy (6-4)
4. Auggie (5-5)
5. brendan120678 (4-6)
6. BOSSHOG (4-6)
7. Condem (4-6)
8. Angleae (4-6)
9. Ishoutandscream (3-1)
10. chollybocker (3-1)
11. many a good man (3-3)
12. CBR (3-3)
13. Jack Rabbit (3-5)
14. ProfessorGAC (2-2)
15. Hokie (2-4)
16. Goblinmonger (1-1)
17. flvegan (1-1)
18. hughee99 (1-5)
19. Surrilous (0-2)


Overall Standings
Rk Member (REC) PCT
1. Condem (132-120) .524
2. JonLP24 (132-120) .524
3. Forkboy (131-121) .520
4. Auggie (128-125) .506
5. brendan120678 (88-92) .489
6. Angleae (109-128) .460
7. many a good man (66-80) .452
8. madinmaryland (68-85) .444
9. joeybee12 (61-80) .433
-------------------------------------------------
Bill McBlueState (26-18)
Ishoutandscream (3-1)
chollybocker (3-1)
BOSSHOG (14-12)
givemebackmycountry (6-6)
CBR (3-3)
ProfessorGAC (2-2)
Goblinmonger (1-1)
flvegan (1-1)
Jack Rabbit (3-5)
Hokie (2-4)
hughee99 (1-5)
Surrilous (0-2)
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
32. Colts by 10. n/t
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
33. Overall points: 58
I just discovered there's a possibility I could tie Forkboy in the playoff standings. So there you have it.
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 10:09 PM
Response to Original message
34. SEASON WINNERS
Condem and JonLP24 tied in W/L for the overall season but Condem wins for picking a point total closest to 48.

JoeyBee12 wins the playoffs outright.

:applause: :applause:

Congratulations to the winners.

And congratulations to the cities of New Orleans and Indianapolis.

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Condem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #34
35. I do think that Jon took the title, Auggie.
Congrats, my friend!! Came down to the final game. Well done, Jon!
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #34
36. Woo-hoo! I sucked during the regular season, but redeemed
myself in the playoffs. Thank you Saints!
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JonLP24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #34
37. Actually I won the overall
we were tied after the conference title games but Condem picked the Colts and I picked the under/Saints(I did predict the Colts would win but by 4 meaning under the 5 point spread)

However Condem lead every single week until today so he deserves A LOT of credit. :)
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-08-10 03:48 AM
Response to Reply #37
39. I misread your pick, Jon. Yes, of course you win.
Edited on Mon Feb-08-10 03:58 AM by Auggie
Sincerest apologies. For the record:

JonLP24



Overall winner, 2009 NFL regular season and playoffs.

:applause:

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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-07-10 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #34
38. Thanks again to you and Jon for keeping track all year.
:toast:
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joeybee12 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-08-10 06:55 AM
Response to Reply #38
40. Yes, it was a big task...thanks!
:toast:
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