How about the line on Steelers - Colts?

[Bill McBlueState]

Everything I see has the Colts by 9 1/2 points. I've got the irrational fan blinders on, so I'm in no position to judge, but what do the rest of you think?

[joeybee12]

1. Went with "just about right" I think Indy will win by 10, but it

won't be as close as that--you know, letting Pittsburgh score at the end, etc. I sort of hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I will be.

[joeybee12]

11. Hey, I was wrong! Glad I was, though....

...who knows what's gonna happen now!

[AlwaysDemocrat]

2. "Just about right" sounds good to me

I'll be there to help make it happen!

[MrSlayer]

3. The line has nothing to do with how much you win by.

The line is set to the point where the bookies will get money bet on both sides of the game. Quite frankly if the line were set by what they think the score will be the Colts would be favored by at least 17-20. It's going to be a blowout unless they take Manning's knees early.

[timber84]

4. You and saquatch need to get together

Go Ben Go Wille Go jerome Don't ever count them out!

[britpopper]

5. Hells yeah...

Big Ben and The Bus storming through Indy ba-by!!

[timber84]

9. What did I say?

wooo fuckin hooo

[Awsi Dooger]

6. I like it when bookies think

That's when you can pounce. Inevitably they are failed bettors who switched to the other side because they couldn't win without taking the 11/10 instead of giving it. I could detail dozens of examples when they got cute and relied on their own numbers and got burned bigtime.

Right now the thinking is almost gone. Corporate mindset has taken over and the oldtime bookmakers who used to run Nevada sportsbooks have been replaced by empty suits who literally got promoted from the beverage department or similar. They just wait for the line service they pay for to release the number then they put it up like a clapping seal.

I figured the Colts at -11 for the opening round playoff game. It's slightly lower because Pittsburgh earns respect via recent playoff history. I'm going to have the Colts in some form, probably in the first half. It fits my first half anti-revenge theory since Indy whacked Pittsburgh already this year. Show up and get reminded of that reality with a quick belt to the jaw. This is Indy's year.

[Bill McBlueState]

7. yeah, think so? n/t

[JVS]

10. Your prediction was erroneous

[Captain Hilts]

8. Steelers WIN!!!!! nt

[friesianrider]

12. Wow...no one thought they would win did they?

Oh ye of little faith... :) In the playoffs, anything can happen!