Study Suggests 86 Percent Of Americans Could Be Overweight Or Obese By 2030

[n2doc]

ScienceDaily (July 29, 2008) — Most adults in the U.S. will be overweight or obese by 2030, with related health care spending projected to be as much as $956.9 billion, according to researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine. Their results are published in the July 2008 online issue of Obesity.

“National survey data show that the prevalence of overweight and obese adults in the U.S. has increased steadily over the past three decades,” said Youfa Wang, MD, PhD, lead author of the study and associate professor with the Bloomberg School’s Center for Human Nutrition. “If these trends continue, more than 86 percent of adults will be overweight or obese by 2030 with approximately 96 percent of non-Hispanic black women and 91 percent of Mexican-American men affected. This would result in 1 of every 6 health care dollars spent in total direct health care costs paying for overweight and obesity-related costs.”

The researchers conducted projection analyses based on data collected over the past three decades from nationally representative surveys. Their projections illustrate the potential burden of the U.S. obesity epidemic if current trends continue.

“Our analysis also shows that over time heavy Americans become heavier,” says May A. Beydoun, a former postdoctoral research fellow at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/07/080728192936.htm

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

1. "If the trend continues"

If the trend continues, 150% of Americans will be overweight by 2100. :eyes:

[n2doc]

2. Yes, but right now, 65% of adults are overweight

so not far to go...

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/07/080728192801.htm

[earthside]

3. Ain't Gonna Happen

With what the Bush-Cheney-Bernanke-Paulson-McCain crowd are doing to with economy, energy, and the environment -- it is more likely that starvation will be a bigger concern that obesity.

[Phred42]

4. High Fructose Corn Syurp - one of the main contributors

[Avalon Sparks]

5. But.... overall fat intake is down, down, down since 80's....

wait, maybe it's all that added sugar to make up for taking the fat out.

It's sugar, HFCS and additives causing obesity, not FAT intake.

I maintain my weight by eating very low carb, which means approximately 70-75% of my daily caloric intake comes from fat.

when are they gonna get it.

Plus the video was so stupid, just showing overweight people...

[Karl_Bonner_1982]

6. Fat Nation, here we come

I'll admit that we've got quite a way to go. There are still plenty of young people who are not at all fat, and it's hard to fathom the idea that there won't be many young, trim, muscle-toned guys and girls around 20 years from now. Fewer, yes, but I don't think everybody will be fat.

Still, it's pretty creepy to imagine where we could be a generation from now. Then again, economic crisis and hunger could mount, reversing the trend toward obesity. I kind of wonder how so many kids are fat when more and more people are living paycheck to paycheck and having trouble affording food.

I would be classified as mildly overweight, but trying to get back in shape and get a sexier body than ever before. :spank: