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Arthur Salm: Immortality? It’s the new health care

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toymachines Donating Member (782 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-08-09 12:05 PM
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Arthur Salm: Immortality? It’s the new health care
Arthur Salm: Immortality? It’s the new health care
SDNN
“There is hope, but not for us.” - Kafka

There’s bad timing, and then there’s this: Instead of a day late and a dollar short, most of us are a day early and … well, money doesn’t even play into it, because we’re gonna die.

Nothing revelatory there, of course. People have been dealing with awareness of their own mortality ever since the first stone-age hunter and/or gatherer — or maybe even his pre-homo sapiens ancestor — figured out what was in store, and began working frantically at constructing a set of beliefs that would allow him not only to continue on after death, but to do so with perks denied him in this mortal, saber-tooth-tiger- and annoying-brother-in-law-infested coil.

But a lot of us alive today are likely to really have our noses rubbed in that vexing mortality thing, because it’s looking more and more as if nanotech-boosted medicinal biology is going to make “life extension” an everyday term. Nanobots will be able to repair the slightest defect arising from defective genes, a detrimental environment, and even, yes, aging. In short, people are going to live forever.

Not you, however, unless you’re pretty young, because immortality is still a ways over the horizon. But not that far, according to Ray Kurzweil (”The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology”) in an essay in “The Best American Nonrequired Reading, 2007″ which states:

“If we think linearly, then the idea of turning off all disease and aging processes appears far off in the future, just as the genome project did in 1990. On the other hand, if we factor in the doubling of the power of each year, the prospect of radical life extension is only a couple of decades away.”

Which is all well and good — hell, great — for anyone around when our progressive, humane national health care system of the future starts accepting appointments for regular 3,000-mile/3-year nanobot tune-ups... Read more

http://www.sdnn.com/sandiego/2009-09-08/blog-forum/arthur-salm-immortality-its-the-new-health-care#ixzz0QXDRwps7
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Speck Tater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-08-09 12:16 PM
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1. Pie in the sky. It will never happen.
We have been trying to make small robots for 25 years with very little to show for it. These dreamers talk about microscopic autonomous robots when we can't even make a robot as small as a cat, let alone an ant-sized robot. And we have yet to make ANY robot that is fully autonomous, or even fully self-contained with respect to its power source.

As a retired computer science guy who has kept up with what the REAL state of the art is, autonomous nanobots are a science fiction fantasy that will simply never happen. Just like the promised "computer as smart as a human" that has been "just ten years away" for the last 50 years.

I imagine that such a technology is possible, maybe a hundred years from now, but I seriously doubt that high tech civilization has another hundred years left before collapsing under its own weight. Especially since we are already in terminal decline with no relief in sight. Between peak oil, (peak multiple resources actually) and climate change we blew our chance to make it to that imaginary Star Trek future. A hundred years from now we will ALL live like the Amish.
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Jim__ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-08-09 02:03 PM
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2. "When Humans Transcend Biology"
Edited on Tue Sep-08-09 02:03 PM by Jim__
I think the biggest problem that we have now is over-population. How are nanobots going to affect that?
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