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DECEMBER 20, 2006
SPEAKERS: SEN. JOHN KERRY, D-MASS.
DAVID GREGORY, NBC ANCHOR
GREGORY: Massachusetts Senator John Kerry is in Damascus, Syria, this morning. He's on a Mideast fact-finding tour which included a stop in Iraq.
Senator Kerry, good morning.
KERRY: Good morning, David. Glad to be with you.
GREGORY: Glad to have you here. A little bit of satellite delay, so we'll bear with each other through that.
Let me ask you first about headlines this morning. The president now wants to increase the size of the U.S. armed forces. A good idea?
KERRY: Well, it shouldn't be confused with increasing the numbers of troops in Iraq itself.
Two years ago, during the campaign, I said and recommended that we need to increase the size of our armed forces for our global responsibilities by at least 40,000 troops. So that's a good idea.
But I don't believe we should be escalating the number of troops absent some kind of comprehensive political resolution in Iraq.
GREGORY: More troops would not do enough in your estimation to shore up Baghdad and at least give the Maliki government a fighting chance?
KERRY: Not without a fundamental political resolution. I think you could put 100,000 troops and you're going to up the casualties, up the stakes, increase the violence and not get a resolution.
The fundamental resolution that I've heard in every country I've been to -- I've been to Egypt -- I met with President Mubarak; I've been to Jordan -- met with King Abdullah yesterday; we're here in Syria today; going to Israel from here; I was in Lebanon yesterday -- everywhere people are saying, You've got to have a comprehensive political reconciliation process. And we're here to explore whether that can be broader than it's been in the past and we think it can.
GREGORY: But how can you have that if you can't have basic security? Everybody talks about politics, but there's trash piled up on the streets, there's an inability on the part of the government to just stop the killing, to provide basic services.
KERRY: Well, let me tell you, I had a chance to get out of the Green Zone and I met with troops in various parts of the country who, incidentally, are extraordinary in doing a remarkable job. And they have a real point of view about that. I mean, they're going out on these patrols, they're doing a great job. But unless the Sunnis/Shia fundamental divide begins to be resolved -- and I think you're seeing steps taken to do that.
There is this new coalition that's being built. There's an effort to try to bring reconciliation together. The Arab League is going to be involved. King Abdullah is involved. Others are involved.
That is the key, not troops. More troops will not resolve the problem of Iraq. And you won't end the violence. What'll happen is you'll create a larger, more prominent target in the absence of the kind of political solution that's needed.
GREGORY: You talked about the politics. Over all, having been in Iraq, do you think the war is winnable? And how would you define success?
KERRY: Fundamental stability and transformation of responsibility to the Iraqis as fast as possible.
I still am committed to the notion that the way you do this the most effectively is to have a date targeted for the withdrawal of forces in order to shift responsibility.
But nothing is going to resolve Iraq without this fundamental political reconciliation. You have a decide between Sunni and Shia. And you have criminal elements. You have ex-Baathist elements. You've just got an enormous historical cultural problem. And the only way to overcome it is with major assistance from outside countries and from us to get that political resolution.
I think that -- incidentally, if I can just say this to you, David, while everybody is focused on Iraq, there is a major crisis brewing that will have an impact on Iraq, on Israel and on the politics of the region in Lebanon. And Lebanon is an immediate crisis. It's a two-week crisis, not a several-month crisis. And we think it is critical that there be greater focus.
GREGORY: Let me turn the subject to domestic politics and look at our latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll and decision 2008, which seems like it's coming up.
Look at your standing. Hillary Clinton 37 percent, Barack Obama 18, your former running mate, Edwards, at 14 percent. You are at 11 percent in terms of, Who would you vote for in 2008?
When you look at your low standing -- it's not a case of you being not well-known; you're certainly well-known, having run in 2004 -- you look at your standing, does that affect your decision about whether to get into the race?
KERRY: Not in the least.
You know, most of those other people haven't had several hundred million dollars worth of negative framing against them. I'm not concerned about it. And I'm certainly not concerned about it sitting here in Damascus, trying to figure out how we're going to solve the problems of the Middle East.
I think that, you know, polls are snapshots of today. It that were true, I'd've never gotten up in December two years ago and gone to work. I don't think they mean anything.
What means something is how we're going to resolve the problems facing us. And I'll tell you, right out here in the Middle East, David, this is more of a tinderbox than a lot of people are focused on.
GREGORY: Senator...
KERRY: I think we have to get more effort...
GREGORY: ... are you in the race? We're running out of time. Are you in the race?
KERRY: David, I have not made any decision. It's the farthest thing from my mind right now. As I said, I'm focused on going from here to Israel. I look forward to having meetings there. And you'll know at the appropriate moment, but that is certainly not now.
GREGORY: Senator John Kerry this morning in Damascus, thank you very much.
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