by Noam Scheiber
http://www.tnr.com/doc.mhtml?i=20051024&s=trb102405Schreiber thinks this is unfortunate - me? Not so much.
In 1989, political scientists Bill Galston and Elaine Kamarck wrote a paper called "The Politics of Evasion," in which they argued that Democrats were too far to the left on social and economic issues to be competitive nationally. The paper's bluntness helped provoke a nasty fight between the party's moderates and liberals. But that fight produced the presidential candidacy of Bill Clinton, probably the best thing to happen to Democrats in a generation.
Last week, Galston and Kamarck released another paper shrewdly assessing the obstacles standing between Democrats and majority status. It's a self-conscious attempt to reproduce the effects of their 1989 paper. But the unfortunate truth is that moderate Democrats face much longer odds than they did 16 years ago.
Galston and Kamarck's basic idea is that each party has become much more ideologically homogenous over the last few election cycles, with conservatives voting overwhelmingly Republican and liberals overwhelmingly Democratic. Whereas Jimmy Carter won 29 percent of self-identified conservative voters in 1976, John Kerry won only 15 percent last year. Conversely, Carter only won 72 percent of liberals versus Kerry's 85. Galston and Kamarck aptly refer to this trend as "the great sorting-out." ...
...What moderates need to recognize is that the party's problem is both deeper and more solvable than they realize. Deeper because the hostility of liberals toward moderates now transcends any particular issue; it has to do with their entire approach to politics, which liberals believe is craven. But the problem is more solvable because liberals are more pragmatic than moderates assume: They may be open to more conservative positions on certain issues, such as the war on terrorism, as long as they feel like moderates are standing up for something, not needlessly selling out core Democratic principles. (For example, Harry Reid is popular among liberals despite being pro-life, skeptical of gun control, and having voted for the war.) Striking this balance obviously won't be painless--I'm personally a die-hard free-trader. But the one way to ensure that things get a lot worse for Democrats is to pretend that no balance needs to be struck.