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Think about who's going to be on the Supreme Court: John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Antonin Scalia, Samuel Alito and Anthony Kennedy. Any decision on the constitutionality of an abortion ban is going to eventually wind up in the hands of those five pro-life men.
Now look back to the original post and notice that I did NOT say a federal law banning abortion would be passed. Bush would never stoop so low as to do this. Instead, he'll tie some sort of critical federal funding to the states to the states' willingness to ban abortion on their own. You think California wouldn't be hurt by this? Tell California, "if you continue to allow abortion on demand, we'll turn off your Medicaid/highway/education funding" and see what happens. They will pass an abortion ban with great pleasure. New York will do the same thing, as will Massachusetts and Washington--those were four of the states that had legal abortion before Roe was passed and could be counted on to have it if Roe is taken away.
You think this won't work? Look at seatbelt laws. Every state has one. Look at helmet laws and the uniform 21-year-old drinking age. Same thing. Those were federal initiatives forced upon the states by threatening to withhold federal funding. This tactic works better than you could possibly imagine.
And who in the Bush administration gives a shit about protests? We've been protesting this fucking war even before it started. It hasn't worked. We put a million, million-five on the streets of DC and the day before it happens, Rove goes to Shrub and tells him the brush is starting to rise up again, so wouldn't it be wonderful to spend the weekend in Crawford?
Forget that "they'll be vulnerable at the ballot box" meme too. It's very simple to defeat Democrats, and it's all on the up-and-up. You can do it with paper ballots. Just find a strawman--gays getting married worked well in 2004; maybe "The Democrats are going to ban Christmas" will do in 2006--get your useful idiots screaming about it on every talk show, get enough Republican states to put it on their ballots, and Republicans will retain their majorities. I'm not shitting you. If I put a proposed Constitutional amendment on your state's ballot that read "no law infringing on public celebrations of a traditional Christmas shall be enacted" and got Faux, Rush, Hannity, "Doctor" Laura, Ann the Man and Ollie to all start screaming about how critical this amendment's passage was because the liberals will destroy Christmas without it, everyone even one click to the right is going to be lined up at the polls to save Christmas. And while they're there, they're gonna vote a straight Republican ticket. And next thing you know, 900-foot inflatable Jesuses are gonna show up right in front of City Hall and city ordinances banning retailers from saying anything but "Merry Christmas" will pass all over this great land of ours.
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