I tackled this on my LJ nearly a year ago.
Here it is
November 16th, 2005
08:20 pm: I love this...
Change letter I got.
>Subject: Fw: Guns in DC
>Date: Fri, 11 Nov 2005 16:57:58 -0600
>
>
>Subject: Guns in DC
>
>
>If you consider that there have been an average of 160,000 troops in the
>Iraq theater of operations during the last 22 months, and a total of 2112
>deaths, that gives a firearm death rate of 60 per 100,000.
>The rate in Washington D.C. (among others) is 80.6 per 100,000.
>That means that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and killed in
>our Nation's Capitol, which has some of the strictest gun control laws
>in the nation, than you are in Iraq.
>
>Conclusion: We should immediately pull out of Washington D.C.
This is funny because the guy who wrote this has a math level of a third grader.
Assuming there are 2112 deaths (which there ISN'T, 2079 last I heard
http://www.cnn.com/2005/WORLD/meast/11/16/iraq.main/index.html) and we have been there a total of 22 months, then. 2112x 22/12 cross multiply and divide, 1155 per 160000 a year. Or for fun an average of about 96 a month.
So per 100,000, 100000x 160000/1155 or 722 per 100,000 per year, or 60 per month.
So that checks out, except.... that the latest death rate statistics from DC is 43 per 100000 A YEAR.(
http://www.safestreetsdc.com/subpages/murdercap.html) Oops. To be fair, 80.6 per 100000 a year is actually the statistic of murders in DC from 1991. But to be fair again, if you had to live in the same city as Reagan you'd be upset too.
So again per month is 3.6 or rounded up to 4, 4 per 100000 a month. So being liberal with the number of DC deaths, Iraq is 15 times more dangerous then Washington DC.
And that isn't counting the 100,000 dead iraqis. Oh wait, they're brown people, so they don't count.
Conclusion: We should immediately pull out of Iraq.