What does 'deterrent power' actually mean? Understand that, and you understand the remarkable savagery of the Israeli attacks on LebanonBy GWYNNE DYER
''What they really need to do is to get Syria to get Hizbollah to stop doing this shit, and it's over,'' said President George W Bush over an unnoticed open microphone at the St Petersburg summit on Sunday. But it isn't really that simple. There are two sides in every fight, and Israel is doing some shit, too. The Hizbollah certainly started the fight (by crossing Israel's border and taking two soldiers hostage), but it is not clear that either Syria or Iran is the mastermind behind the operation. Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hizbollah, is perfectly capable of taking this initiative on his own.
True, the rockets that have been raining down on northern Israel (2,000 so far, leaving 16 Israeli civilians dead) were made in Iran. But then the F-16s and Apache gunships that are pounding Lebanon (130 Lebanese civilians dead so far) were made in the United States, and that doesn't mean that Washington ordered the Israeli offensive against Lebanon.
Sheikh Nasrallah knew that the Israeli retaliation for the kidnapping would fall mainly on innocent Lebanese (because they are much easier targets than his elusive guerrillas), but he doesn't care. He had a few surprises up his sleeve, like longer-range rockets that could strike deep into Israel and radar-guided Silkworm anti-ship missiles to attack the Israeli warships that used to shell the Lebanese coast with impunity. And if he manages to fight Israel to a draw, he will come out of this the most popular Arab leader since Nasser.
General Dan Halutz, the Israeli chief-of-staff, was also spoiling for a fight. His major concern has been that Israel's ''deterrent power'' has gone into decline, and he wanted to re-establish it.
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