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Are the Stocks Up Today Because of the ME Violence?

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stepnw1f Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:36 PM
Original message
Are the Stocks Up Today Because of the ME Violence?
Edited on Wed Jul-19-06 07:40 PM by stepnw1f
if so, we are manufacturing war for profit.
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HysteryDiagnosis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. Something you might enjoy.....
www.addictedtowar.com
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AlCzervik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. some earnings came out, the tech sector is helping the market
as well as oil dropping a bit. The market doesn't seem to give a shit about anything going on in the world for than say a few trading cycles.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
3. The markets were up today because the Fed said the economy was stabilizing
and inflation was in check (ergo, no more rate hikes) and investors bought it.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:42 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I wonder what is included and excluded in the measure of inflation
Because if they don't include the cost of fuel and the cost of housing, the number would appear to be lower than what reality suggests.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Cost of fuel is not included and neither is housing
Part of the rational is that the cost of fuel affects the cost of everything (mfg, distribution), so it is already counted. But a big part of fuel cost that is not factored into inflation and probably should be is cost of transporting people (i.e. worker commuting).

I'm not sure of the rational to not count housing other than once you lock in, it is typically a fixed cost and doesn't increase (unless you've purchased a variable rate mortgage or keep refinancing).
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sendero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. No...
.. they are up because Bernanke came out with a statement that was interpreted as "I'm done with the interest rate hikes for now".

Now, the REASON he is done with the hikes is that they seem to be working, the economy is slowing down. One could reasonably ask "how is an economic slowdown good for stocks?".

Well, it is good for stocks because rising interest rates:

1) make business more expensive to do, squeezing profits and forcing price increases that reduce sales and

2) higher interest rates in money markets, savings, CDs and the like make them more attractive investments and pull money away from stocks.

I say all of this as a reminder that the stock market is not any kind of indicator of economic health for the masses.
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Clarkie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. Nope. nt
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-19-06 07:55 PM
Response to Original message
7. No, they're up because Bernanke lied about inflation
again and said it wasn't happening.

I think most investors must take their brains out and put them in the fridge in case some day they might feel the need to play with them.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-20-06 12:44 AM
Response to Original message
9. Technical Move Up
Oversold. Rise within the channel. Also a feeling that stocks had overreacted to the Middle East war -- that the destruction in Lebanon would not hurt the US economy all that much.

Don't know what the future holds. But I wouldn't be in the market for more than a day or two.
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