Al Queda will be our ally again, Mogadishu proves that old habits die hard

[Grebrook]

I know this has been said countless times, but you really can't stretch the point anymore that the war in Iraq, even if it is a completely victory in the sense that we annihilate every last Sunni insurgent or rebel, will be a total failure in the long run because of the rise of Shia fundamentalism and the inevitable alliance that will be forged between Iran and the shia majority in Iraq.

Thirteen years ago 18 American soldiers lost their lives fighting against roving bands of secular-militia gangs in the Somalian capital of Mogadishu. Today, Islamic fundamentalists have taken over and reports indicate we've been training and financing the very same militias we fought a decade ago in order to stop the coup-de-tat that has taken place, and we've apparently continued the funding. Yesterday's enemies are today's allies. This sickening scenario of "The more things change, the more they stay the same" is destined to happen in Iraq. It will be one of the most pitiful ironies in the 21rst century. By invading Iraq on the ridiculous claim that Saddam Hussein was working with Al Queda, the United States will bring about the rise of a Shia theocracy through a sectarian civil war in which Iran is destined to intervene and destabilize the entire region, ending in the reformation of the alliance between future Republican administrations and Al Queda-like Sunni fundamentalists in order to fight the Shia. This is exactly how history will play out and we all know it. In my opinion, we should have merely assassinated Hussein in 2003 and called it a day. There would have been a power struggle, but it would not have been sectarian. Destroying the infrastructure of Iraq and leaving whole cities in ruin, especially economic ruin, displacing hundreds of thousands, has only helped to turn the Iraqis toward a fundamentalist outlet, as is common among those that are poor and miserable and need some extreme form of religious devotion to escape reality off the promises of great rewards in the afterlife. Now it is too late, Iraq is in ruin, and Iran is hungrily watching us set up the dinner table. Ultimately when the Iranian-Iraqi Alliance is formed it will essentially end the anti-Israel alliance between Syria, Saudia Arabia and Iran, because the Iranians will have grown incredibly powerful and it will be all out war between Iran and Syria if the Syrians continue to allow Sunni insurgents from their side of the border to fight in Iraq. Saudi Arabia-Syria versus Iran-Iraq. Iran-Iraq versus Israel. American versus Iran-Iraq. Israel versus everyone.

It will be the 1980's Lebanese Civil War all over again, that absurd seven-pronged civil war where EVERYONE FOUGHT EVERYONE. The Lebanese government versus Hezbollah, versus the U.S. and Israel, versus Syria, versus the PLO, versus the Philange Christian militias. It will be warped and twisted beyond belief, and the U.S. is going to end up shaking hands with the devil again when we start funding anti-Iranian Sunni fundamentalists.

History has a pretty sick sense of humor.