Last poll shows Lamont-Lieberman race is tightening

[NewJeffCT]

No link, but the Quinnipiac poll released about 45 minutes ago has Lamont up 51-45, meaning Lamont has lost 3 points and Lieberman has gained 4.

Lieberman is really pulling out all the stops this last week - don't believe it that he's given up his GOTV effort.

[Horse with no Name]

1. I don't believe it

:shrug:

Edited to add:
Unless of course they polled Republicans

[NewJeffCT]

2. It's consistent with what DailyKos was reporting...

- That internal polls for both candidates showed it closer than the 13 point spread that this same Quinnipiac poll had last week.

Lieberman also must have dropped a huge amount of money this past week in advertising & phone calls.

[zanne]

4. So if the election is fixed...

We won't be suspicious? Election tampering only works when the race is close. I see this happening with Schwarzenegger, too.

[LynzM]

5. Election tampering would be a real challenge in CT

No electronic voting machines here, yet. 2008 will be another story....

[zanne]

7. As Lenin once said

"It's not who votes, it's who counts the votes". Electronic machines aren't the only way to fix an election.

[Dr.Phool]

11. I thought that was Katherine Harris.

:rofl:

[zanne]

15. No, but she was thinking it. :)

[WI_DEM]

26. If Lieberman wins it won't be because of a "fixed election" not

every time somebody wins who we don't want to win is it "fixed."

[Larkspur]

9. Lieberman bought a new ad and lots of air time over the weekend

He also got the endorsements from all major CT newspapers. These papers are owned by the same folks who contribute to Lieberman's campaign -- corporations. This probably has shifted some undecides Lieberman's way. What we don't know is who the new registered voters will vote for.

[NewJeffCT]

14. I'm guessing they will lean towards Lamont

But, I've been wrong before.

I don't think Lieberman's supporters are passionate enough to make the effort to switch parties to vote for him.

[HereSince1628]

3. Not only polled them but maybe got them to register as Democrats

for the primary. You know, the pundidiots are saying the democratic agenda for the next 6 years is riding on this primary election.

[NewJeffCT]

8. There is a 90 day blackout period

If you are a Republican and wanted to switch to vote in tomorrow's primary, the deadline was 90 days prior to tomorrow, or early May.

Independents who want to switch have until noon today.

However, this year, approximately 11,000 independents have changed affiliation to Democrat and 11,000 new voters have registered Democratic. In the same time frame, only 500 independents have registered Republican. This is according to CT Sec. of State Susan Bysiewicz this morning on the radio.

[HereSince1628]

17. Right, but what would make me think those independents

actually were? My "independent" relatives are hardly all on the left. At any rate we'll soom get to see if the 11,000 break in the same proportions for Lamont as long registered democrats. That will be interesting.

[DODI]

6. Here is a link

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11362.xml?ReleaseID=945

[femmedem]

10. All the CT papers support Lieberman.

Their editorial endorsements have likely had an effect. In addition, I'm seeing more of a pro-Lieberman slant in their choice of articles and in the way those articles are written.

I am nervous about this. Very nervous.

[NewJeffCT]

12. almost all the CT establishment supports Joe

and, Lamont is still in front in the polls.

Dodd, Larson, DeLauro, etc, all support him. I would assume Blumenthal and others as well.

[chimpymustgo]

13. And the MSM is doing its level best to portray the noble, beleaguered

gracious, bi-partisan, he's-one-of-us Joementum - as the good guy. They insist on focusing on the war, when it's about so much more.

[high density]

22. I was watching Harry Smith and David Gergen on CBS this morning

And they were gushing about how great Joe is as a "bipartisan" politician and how it's going to be so horrible for "bipartisanship" if LIEberman loses the primary tomorrow... I hate how warped the word "bipartisan" has gotten to be these days.

[NewJeffCT]

27. I know

Those Republicans have been just so darned bipartisan since taking over Congress in 1994! They always reach out with the olive branch to Democrats and moderates.

[calico1]

16. So am I.

Even in CT where people tend to be well educated and informed (not saying everyone!) there is something about an incumbent that is challenging to beat. I think some people get into the voting booth and go into an irrational "survivival" mode. They'll vote for Lieberman even if they hate him all because they know him and are afraid of the unknown even if they hate what they know. Ugh! Lamont is doing amazingly well despite widespread establishment support for Lieberman. I just hope enough people turn out tomorrow. I can't stand the thought of 6 more years of Lieberman sucking up to the right wing and undermining the Democratic Party.

[JerseygirlCT]

18. That's the key, I think

the Lieberman supporter's best tactic is to say "Who IS this Ned Lamont guy? Do you really know how he'll be?" And of course, you don't -- you can't. He hasn't BEEN a senator yet, there's nothing to make that judgement from. They've been using that line pretty aggressively -- in media, but also in person.

OTOH, the best argument Lamont has is that you KNOW what to expect from Lieberman. If you don't want more of the same, your choice is to take a jump on Lamont.

Tomorrow will be interesting.

[NewJeffCT]

20. I'm pretty nervous right now

No idea where the 22,000 new Democrats will break (11,000 who switched from unaffiliated to Dem, and the 11,000 new voters who registered Dem)

[JerseygirlCT]

23. I agree

My suspicion, given how hard the Lieberman camp has been pushing (and I've heard a few real whoppers lately on that), is that there will be a good number of his supporters in that total.

I guess we'll just have to wait and see.

The thing that really bugs me about this is that if Lieberman pulls it out, there will be a period of gloating, and then he'll slip right back into "screw you, CT" mode. He will find it justifies all he's done and not done in the past.

[calico1]

25. Given his arrogance and massive ego,

I think he wil be even worse than he has been.

[Junkdrawer]

19. I'm betting Joe's been quietly registering the "unaffiliated"...

The "unaffiliated" represent 44% of CT voters...

Since last month, the secretary of the state and others have been urging the state's 900,000 unaffiliated voters, who account for 44 percent of the state's registered voters, to sign up with a party.


http://www.courant.com/news/politics/hc-newdems0805.artaug05,0,4759056.story

[rocktivity]

21. Yup, they tighten at the last moment, then the Repubs wins

by a recount-proof margin. DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE, CONNECUTICUT--GET YOUR ASSES OUT AND VOTE!!!

:patriot:
rocknation

[WI_DEM]

24. I think it will could be a tight race

[madfloridian]

28. They are not going to let Lieberman lose.

http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/177

I wrote this in July, and I still believe it. But we have given him a real race.