How many of the 48% will vote for Lieberman in November?

[kentuck]

I think that anyone that believes MoJo will get the full 48% is looking thru rose-colored glasses.

[Fluffdaddy]

1. To soon to tell. things must settle down first

[jobycom]

2. He's a dead man walking. nt

[FSogol]

3. Not enough info to evaluation. For example:

How many Repub voted against Lieberman last election?

What % of the state votes repub and what % votes Democratic?

Lieberman will not get all of his supporters, many will stay loyal to the party. He will pick up some repub votes, but will that be enough to win?

He ran a pretty piss-poor campaign in the primary (probably due to arrogance) what will be different this time?

[kentuck]

4. Also...

If the Repubs think they have a chance of winning by splitting the Democratic vote, they will stab Joe in the back. Bet on it.

[Freddie Stubbs]

5. I'd be interested to see a post-primary poll on this

The last three-person poll was done before Lieberman surged in the last week. But...

many Democrats may now be leery of voting for him now that he officially running as in independent. Another factor will be that there are more registered independents than Democrats in the state.

[rock]

6. How many Repubs would vote for a DINO

How many of us would vote for a RINO?

I believe the answer in both cases is "not many". So, Joe will get few votes either way.

[longship]

7. I agree that it's too soon to tell.

But there is going to be huge pressure on him to fold up his game and leave the table. There is not a single Democrat who will support him. He's going to be alone in the wilderness. No Big Dawg. No Bah-bah Boxer. No Chris Dodd. No Hillary. No Harry Reid. That's what happens when you stab your friends in the back.

I'd give odds that Lieberman withdraws before the election.

[fishwax]

8. i'm still not convinced he'll last until the general

I think he's in pain, and reacting out of pain. And just as he said he'd fight till the end in the '04 primaries, he's blustering about taking his fight to the general election. But once the polls give a boost to Lamont for his primary win, and once prominent democrats start putting pressure on him, since his independent campaign will be forcing the party to spend resources for the DEMOCRATIC candidate that could be effectively put to use in other close races around the country, I think he will change his mind.

Probably naive of me, but what the hell :)