Lawrence O'Donnell: Joe Lieberman Will Drop Out.

[LTR]

Joe Lieberman will drop out. He probably knows right now that the day will come in late September when he will announce his withdrawal from the race. No one is going to have to talk him into it. By that time, the Democratic Party power structure will be doing its thing for Ned Lamont and Lieberman will be trailing by double digits. It won't be a hard decision for Lieberman. He will drop out to avoid career-ending humiliation.

(snip)

Lieberman is going to have one very big news day in late September and he'll milk it for all its worth. That's all his independent candidacy is going to be about--stage-managing his own exit. He didn't want an eighteen year Senate career to disappear under 'Lamont Wins' headlines. He wanted his own news day, his own headline. He knows how and when to get it.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/huffpost/20060811/cm_huffpost/027006

[The_Casual_Observer]

1. Mid to late September would be about right. This campaign is a

practical impossibility, no party, no money, no structure.

[bluerum]

2. ... he will realize that he wants to spend more time with his family.

[Ediacara]

3. What a load!

"He didn't want an eighteen year Senate career to disappear under 'Lamont Wins' headlines."

BULLSHIT! Lamont's win disapeared under a mountain of "Lieberman loses" headlines. The election coverage was all-Joe all-the-time.

[VolcanoJen]

4. I agree wholeheartedly

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x1864837

[UTUSN]

5. Wasn't O'DONNELL sort of wrong on the KKKarl indictment, then

when it didn't happen, he said he never said it would?

[theophilus]

8. Gee, even I was wrong once. But, I've also been right a couple of times.

I enjoy listening to Lawrence and I usually agree with him. I hope he is right on this one.

[David Dunham]

10. He will stay in unfortunately. First post-primary poll: Joe 46 Ned 41

[VolcanoJen]

11. Well, you'd like that, but you should read O'Donnell more carefully.

Like Lawrence says, as soon as all the big name Dems start campaigning for Lamont, Lieberman will start bleeding percentage points.

Once he's 10 points down, he's out. Mid-September, in my opinion.

[Connie_Corleone]

12. I don't remember him predicting a rove indictment.

He was the first one to break the story that Rove was that one reporter's source. He said it on the McLaughlin Group.

[shadowknows69]

6. He can't save himself from humiliation

He shouldn't have betrayed his party for his ego.

[MrModerate]

7. From your mouth to Joe's ear, Larry n/t

[survivor999]

9. Yup. I agree.

They'll go after him. He's over.

[warrens]

13. That sounds about right to me

Not necessarily the humiliation factor, more like why throw good money after bad. Joe will do ok, and who knows, he may run for governor or something useful. We would prefer you fight Repukes, Joe, not Democrats. You lost. Get over it.

[LSK]

14. i completely agree

[Snivi Yllom]

15. Considering Lieberman is up 5 in the latest poll

I'd hedge my bets if I was Larry

[chaumont58]

16. I think Lieberman is at his zenith, its all down from here

This elevator only goes down. When and if the big name Dems campaign for Lamont, Lieberman's stock will drop more.

Lieberman can fire his campaign staff, implying its all their fault, but the truth is he is not a good campaigner. He had no competition for 18 years, and skated by. Those days are gone. As Ann Richards has said: You can put lipstick on a pig, and call it Monique, but it is still a pig.
Lieberman is going to crash and burn.

[VolcanoJen]

17. You are exactly correct.

I can't even express how confident I am that Lieberman will leave the race. I've been saying this since Wednesday, and it's nice to see that someone as bright as Lawrence O'Donnell agrees. :-)

[Snivi Yllom]

18. I'm more impressed by Lamont's ability to campaign as a novice

We will see, but in no case do I see Lieberman dropping out. He would rather go down flailing in November than quit.

O'donnell is waaaaaaay off on this.

[calico1]

20. I don't know about that.

A 5 point lead among ALL voters? That is no blowout for Lieberman. Its not just Democrats in the poll now. He should be up by a lot more.

[goclark]

19. I read here at DU that he had a chance of winning ~ no?