How safe are these Senators?

[kentuck]

http://www.fecinfo.com/2006senate.htm

How safe are George Allen, Conrad Burns, Lincoln Chaffee, Mike DeWine, John Ensign, Kay Hutchison, Rick Santorum, James Talent, and Craig Thomas? All are Republican Senators. How many will lose their seats?

[havocmom]

1. Burns is in trouble in MT

Heard talk of tar and feathers and I live in a VERY GOP county.

[TheFarseer]

5. I heard the same talk in '04

and it didn't show up at the ballot box AT ALL. In fact, our retarded president seemed to have MORE support. Will it show up 2 years later? or is there a vast difference between John Tester or Claire McCaskill or Harold Ford Jr. and John Kerry? I hope the answer to at least one of those is 'yes'

[havocmom]

15. In regards to Jon Tester: visit link at my sig line

Read about him. I'm pretty positive & excited and I'm and old cynic from way back.

About the 04 vote: You don't think THAT was an honest telling of how America voted, do you? And, it's setting up for more of the same this year. Lots of people being purged, especially in predominately DEM districts.

[saltpoint]

2. Burns, Chafee, DeWine, and Santorum are done for.

And it's not looking all that great for Allen after his racially crude address to Mr. Sidarth. Talent may also fall, especially if a lot of scientists vote in Missouri, and I hope to hell they do.

Of your 9 up there, I believe 4 will fall and two more are possible GOP losses.

[kentuck]

3. And Harold Ford stands a good chance in Tennessee...

of winning the seat vacated by the retiring Bill Frist. i would say it's a long shot but the Democrats could win the Senate...

[saltpoint]

4. kentuck, that's the kind of talk I like to hear! You go!

I forgot about the Ford-Corker race. And I think you're right. We do have a fighting chance there in Tennessee.

How fine it would be to see that tv map light up blue on Nov. 7th!

(Nice post as usual.)

[kentuck]

6. And don't write Carter off out in Nevada...

He could be a dark-horse winner. :)

[saltpoint]

11. It wouldn't piss me off one bit if Jack came up with a win.

He'd be a terrific improvement over Ensign.

[fishwax]

7. Hutchison and Thomas are safe

Burns, DeWine, Talent, and Santorum are in pretty serious trouble, and Allen is heading in the wrong direction, pollwise. Ensign will be a tough opponent in Nevada, but it's possible he could lose. Put Lincoln Chafee in the "serious trouble" column as well--he is currently in a surprisingly tough primary battle, and will face an uphill battle from the dem nominee if he makes it through.

[TheFarseer]

9. When the hell is the RI primary?

It's before the General Election, right? I mean seriously, our primary was nearly 4 months ago!

[fishwax]

10. September 12

seems late to me too. I yhink the NY primary is that day as well.

[TheFarseer]

8. I'm hopeful we can win all the competative races

but you people are writting off Mike DeWine, Jim Talent and Co. far too soon. I give the odds something like this:

loses his seat/retains his seat

George Allen 20/80
Conrad Burns 60/40
Lincoln Chafee 49/51
Mike DeWine 50/50
John Ensign 1/99
Kay Hutchinson 0/100
Rick Santorum 25/75
James Talent 50/50
Craig Thomas 2/98
Corker in place of Frist 40/60

I think we pick up 4

[Rageneau]

12. None of them is safe. All of them are dangerous as hell.

A Republican in the Senate is like a chimpanzee with a light saber.

[obreaslan]

14. LOL! "Monkey with a lightsaber"...

OT, but you reminded me of this picture I saw the other day...

[Sherman A1]

13. I think Talent

will win in Missouri. He has a huge war chest and things really haven't gotten warmed up yet. Hope I am wrong...