Conyers: Democratic Opportunites This November

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Democratic Opportunites This November

As we enter the final months before this year's elections, Democrats are poised to make gains in the House. We have tremendous opportunities to pick up seats that have been held by incumbent Republicans for plenty of years. Political prognosticator, and University of Virginia professor, Larry Sabato concludes that "Democrats are almost exclusively the party on the offensive, and they stand to gain seats in bunches if there is a macro-wave on November 7th." He focuses on three states where we seem to have very good chances to pick up seats in bunches.

Connecticut: "...(A)ll three of Connecticut's incumbent Republicans--Reps. Rob Simmons, Chris Shays, and Nancy Johnson--are facing tough fights for their political lives... One thing's clear: the three Democratic House challengers here aren't at all hurt by the fact they are endorsed by both Lieberman and Lamont, who together may account for upwards of 90 percent of all votes cast in the pitched Senate battle."

Indiana: "You can always count on the ordinarily red state of Indiana to produce at least one hot House race, but this year, three Republican incumbents (of seven in the state) face tight contests to hold onto their seats. We always knew southern Indiana GOP Reps. John Hostettler and Mike Sodrel would be near the top of DCCC target lists, but sophomore GOP Rep. Chris Chocola of north-central Indiana is now also marked for defeat by energized Democrats; both state and national Republicans are unpopular there, and several polls have even shown Chocola running behind."

Pennsylvania: "Much like Connecticut, the suburban region of southeastern Pennsylvania features a trio of endangered House Republican incumbents in a place where statewide races could strongly influence down-ballot outcomes. Incumbent Democratic Gov. Ed Rendell is the solid favorite to be reelected in no small part because of his strength in the Philadelphia suburbs, and GOP Reps. Jim Gerlach, Curt Weldon, and Mike Fitzpatrick could all be swept away--though Gerlach is by far the most imperiled. Indeed, the Keystone State could also be a key element of a Democratic takeover of the House."


I'm going to be closely watching the races in these states and helping out where and when I can. If you are from one of these states and are able to help out through volunteering or other means, you have a chance to help return the House to a Democratic majority. To learn more about the races in these states the DCCC has information here on >Indiana, Connecticut and Pennsylvania .

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