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I'm watching Charlie Cook on CSPAN WJ now.

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liberaldemocrat7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 06:41 AM
Original message
I'm watching Charlie Cook on CSPAN WJ now.
He says that the CQ journal ratings that put the Republicans in good shape to keep the House and Senate do not correspond to what his report does.

His report shows the Republicans appear in trouble in both the House and Senate.

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 06:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. I'm listening also; what's the CQ journal ratings? nt
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BlueCollar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:05 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. congressional quarterly?
just a guess
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:15 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Thanks; makes sense. nt
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Parisle Donating Member (849 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:29 AM
Response to Reply #1
7. Part of the Looming Scam
---- There have to be at least a few projections showing the republicans doing pretty well,.. in order to pave the way for the "surprise upsets" which could be electronically engineered.
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:40 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. you nailed it.
Pols have to be at least in the neiborhood when the switch happens.
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 08:25 AM
Response to Reply #7
11. At the very end a caller asked if Cell Phone use has hurt polling and
he said he didn't feel so yet..because most cell phone users who give up their LAN lines are teens and early twenty somethings who don't vote anyway. He said it will be a problem in the future, though.

But, he added that polling has become much more difficult in the last few years because trying to contact people is harder and even with doing door to door polls their polling isn't as accurate as it was years ago. He said this after telling another caller that polling is pretty accurate with small samples because "you only need a testube of blood to sample a patient not the whole body."

I was worried that he is saying polling is less accurate today than years ago because it does mean the Repugs can set up another Election fiasco with disenfranchisement and the machines.
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:08 AM
Response to Original message
3. I didnt know Charlie Cook worked for Editor &Publisher and his poli report
Just found your thread. Thanks for the heads up. :coffee:
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:09 AM
Response to Original message
4. Santorum's been behind since Moby Dick was a guppy
For Santorum to beat Casey would be considered an upset--paraphrase
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:14 AM
Response to Original message
5. Cook thinks Menendez (NJ) might be behind because he's
Hispanic? That's the American way. :eyes: Does anyone know what NYT article Cook was referring to where Menendez was involved in something questionable? I really like Menendez. :(
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:34 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. Can an African-American (Harold Ford) win in the South?
Maybe. "Ford is a great campaigner" but he is still at a disadvantage. No credit to Tennessee, there.
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-10-06 07:38 AM
Response to Original message
9. Dewine is "probably not" in as good a shape as 50-50 in Ohio
"Dewine would have won in 2004 or would win in 2008." I think Dewine is going to get beat because Ohioans are going to throw a make-up penalty at the gop for having given us Shrub*.
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