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Extremely in-depth article on the consequences of attacking Iran

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Oreo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 04:54 PM
Original message
Extremely in-depth article on the consequences of attacking Iran
Edited on Mon Jan-23-06 05:14 PM by Oreo
The article is from the Center for Nonproliferation Studies and is the most in-depth, no BS read about Iran and the mess we're moving toward. The House has already given approval to King George attacking Iran. Now only the Senate stands between the Bush Regime and their grand prize... invading Iran.

http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/040812.htm

At a time when Iraq and the war on terrorism tend to dominate the debate on international affairs, the possibility of an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities has not been a major topic of discussion in the United States. There are reports, however, that the Bush administration has seriously considered this option but opted to put it on the back burner for the time being.<1> Further, on May 6, 2004, the U.S. House of Representatives passed Resolution 398 in a 376-3 vote, calling on the U.S. government "to use all appropriate means to deter, dissuade, and prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons."<2> If a similar resolution passes the Senate, it will give President Bush or any future administration the ability to launch a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities whenever this is deemed necessary.

Meir Dagan, the Chief of Mossad, told parliament members in his inaugural appearance before the Israeli Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee that Iran was close to the "point of no return" and that the specter of Iranian possession of nuclear weapons was the greatest threat to Israel since its inception.<5> On November 11, 2003, Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom said that Israel had "no plans to attack nuclear facilities in Iran."<6> Less than two weeks later however, during a visit to the United States, Israel's Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz stated that "under no circumstances would Israel be able to tolerate nuclear weapons in Iranian possession"<7> and just six weeks earlier, Mossad had revealed plans for preemptive attacks by F-16 bombers on Iranian nuclear sites.<8> This report will examine the following: The Iranian nuclear facilities most likely to be targeted and their proliferation risk potential; the likely preemptive scenarios involving Israel or the United States; and the possible consequences of any preemptive action.

-snip-

Conclusion

An attack on Iranian nuclear facilities in Bushehr, Arak, and Natanz, could have various adverse effects on U.S. interests in the Middle East and the world. Most important, in the absence of evidence of an Iranian illegal nuclear program, an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities by the U.S. or Israel would be likely to strengthen Iran's international stature and reduce the threat of international sanctions against Iran. Such an event is more likely to embolden and expand Iran's nuclear aspirations and capabilities in the long term.

On Monday July 19, 2004, President Bush stated that the United States is investigating any connection between Iran and al-Qa'ida, and whether Iran played any role in the 9/11 attacks on the United States.<60> A day before, acting CIA chief John McLaughlin told Fox News that eight of the 9/11 hijackers traveled through Iran but added, "however, I would stop there and say we have no evidence that there is some sort of official sanction by the Government of Iran for this activity."<61> These reports come on the heels of news articles stating that the administration has examined the possibility of a preemptive strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. It remains to be seen whether the timing of these revelations is just coincidence, election year politicking, or the inception of a campaign aimed at cultivating domestic support for an attack on Iran. Whether talk of a preemptive attack on Iran's nuclear facilities is a likely scenario or just bravado and journalistic hype remains to be seen, but one thing is for certain, it would not be just another Osirak.



More articles here:
http://cns.miis.edu/research/iran/index.htm
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sui generis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. Military draft right around the corner
and we'll need it, because while we send our last three soldiers and guardsmen off to the middle east, Canada will finally invade.

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jeff30997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Oh yes we will !
With our almighty under-equipped army we will crush the U.S.(But you have to un-arm every citizens first,even BB guns and butter knives)
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sui generis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. That's true - you'd have to overcome our Army of God militias
Edited on Mon Jan-23-06 05:18 PM by sui generis
although they might be a bit busy themselves trying round up us homos and liberals and what the heck, jews.

Scary thing is I've always had this idle fantasy that if US gets bad enough, Canada looks wonderful, except for this Bush neocon you're about to elect who is intent on selling off Canada, overturning your environmental protections, trying to overturn same sex marriage, and that messy clubbing the baby seals stuff.

Now I've done it. There is no hope is there. :evilfrown:

People just WANT to live in the middle ages.
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jeff30997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Yeah,it's very depressing...
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High Plains Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. But I hear your new leader, Mr. Harper, is going to fix that.
So sorry.
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jeff30997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. "eight of the 9/11 hijackers traveled through Iran "
Yeah but what about the fact that most of them were from Saudi Arabia ? Hypocrites!:grr:
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Oreo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. I think they travelled through New Jersey too
By following his argument we should have troops in Trenton by March.
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jeff30997 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Lol! Yeah, Nuke Jersey !
:nuke:
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LunaC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. The ingredients for a NUCLEAR CONFLICT are all in place!
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Disturbed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-23-06 05:26 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. The Amerikan Neo Fascist Regime
will be nuetered by the Oligarchy before any attack on Iran will take place.
The Multi-Corps, Big Oil and the MIC cannot allow the destruction of the Amerikan Capitalist Empire which an attack on Iran would bring forth.
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