Ace of Base
By MARK HALPERIN
BILL and Hillary Clinton have been known to cite a quip widely attributed to Einstein: “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.” George W. Bush and Karl Rove live by an alternative dictum: Why do things differently when you like the results you have been getting?
In the 2002 and 2004 national elections, the president and his top political adviser won by margins provided by conservative voters who shared the White House’s view that the country should continue to move right. Although the president is not on the ballot in November, the Bush-Rove model animates the Republican Party’s election strategy for 2006.
Yet two years of controversy over the Iraq war and Hurricane Katrina, and the perils of high gas prices and low poll numbers, have led many to believe that the Republicans’ strategy of fighting from the base has worn out its welcome. Therefore, this view holds, a campaign that appeals to moderates, one waged from the center, is the only way for the party to maintain control of the House and Senate.
Interesting theory, but it probably won’t work. If the Republicans want to keep their majorities in the midterm elections, their best chance is to stick with the old, base-driven Bush-Rove electoral strategy.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/01/opinion/01halperin.html?pagewanted=print(edited to provide link to article)