New polls: NY/CT/PA

[Nite Owl]

No link got it in an email. It appears to be from the DCCC but couldn't find it there. Looking good!


CT-04: Diane Farrell (D) vs. Chris Shays (R-Incumbent)

Head to Head: Farrell 44%, Shays 41%. Only 24% of voters in Connecticut’s 4th district think that the country is going on the right track, while 65% say we’re headed down the wrong track and only 21% give President Bush a positive rating for the job he is doing, 77% disapprove.



CT-05: Chris Murphy (D) vs. Nancy Johnson (R-Incumbent)

Head to Head: Murphy 45%, Johnson 40%. When asked to assess the job that Nancy Johnson is doing, only 39% approve. Only 32% of voters in Connecticut’s 5th district think that the country is going on the right track, while 58% say we’re headed down the wrong track and only 27% give President Bush a positive rating for the job he is doing, 70% disapprove.



NY-20: Kirsten Gillibrand (D) vs. John Sweeney (R-Incumbent)

Head to Head: Gillibrand 41%, Sweeney 42%. When asked to assess the job tht John Sweeney is doing, only 35% approve. Only 27% of voters in New York’s 20th district think that the country is going on the right track, while 60% say we’re headed down the wrong track and only 25% give President Bush a positive rating for the job he is doing.



PA-08: Patrick Murphy (D) vs. Mike Fitzpatrick (R-Incumbent)

Head to Head: Murphy 44%, Fitzpatrick 40%. When asked to assess the job tht Mike Fitzpatrick is doing, only 37% approve. Only 27% of voters in Pennsylvania’s 8th district think that the country is going on the right track, while 66% say we’re headed down the wrong track and only 27% give President Bush a positive rating for the job he is doing, 71% disapprove.

[calico1]

1. Thanks!

Wow, no wonder Johnson and Shays are in meltdown.

[Greeby]

I thought Shays was one of the more sane ones

But he seems to be giving Sick Rick a run for his money these days :crazy:

[pwb]

2. blue states are cleaning house....

cleaning out the red trash.

[SpreadItAround]

3. Shays, the new anti-Bush

I love his radio ads, the entire content of them is all about how independent he is and how he stands up to the Bush administration.

Yeah right.

[NewJeffCT]

4. I'm sure no Dems in CT will shed a tear if Nancy Johnson lost

Her campaign this year has been the most negative I can ever remember here in CT. And, the hissy fit she threw over the Murphy negative ad was hysterical... and a few days later, the Hartford Courant had it as a front page story that Murphy's ad was true! The Courant is a paper that endorsed Bush in 2000 and 2004, too!

[Penndems]

5. Patrick Murphy is up over Mike Fitzpatrick?

Be still, my beating heart, LOL!

This is great news, but if this is an internal DCCC poll, I need to see other results as well - e.g., Keystone Poll, Mason-Dixon and the Quinny.

[Nite Owl]

6. I copied and pasted from the email

and for some odd reason the name of the group that did the polling didn't show. It was done by Grove Insight. Never heard of them and the sampling was small only 400, the margin of error 4.9-5% which is wide. Still it is the right direction and no matter how one looks at it not good for an incumbent at this stage of the race.

[DaveinMD]

7. a 400 person sample

on a congressional survey is pretty standard.

[Nite Owl]

8. I thought it was small

so thanks for that, it's even more encouraging to know it is standard.

[DaveinMD]

9. its small for a national or statewide poll

but most congressional samples are between 300-400.

[Jack Rabbit]

10. I'd really like to see Sweeney go down

He was one of the architects of the riot of Republican congressional aides in Miami on November 22, 2000.

He deserves defeat and to be sent to the slammer for election fraud.

[Nite Owl]

12. He's my congressman

believe me we are working on it really, really hard. Kirsten is a good candidate, we have a good chance this time. He has never had a real challenger until now and people have just voted for the incumbant.The area is changing and people who have always been republican are realizing that this is not the old Rockerfeller party anymore. Republicans in this area are really more libertarian than part of the right wing group.

[Jack Rabbit]

13. Thank you for the information

Good luck on your endeavors.

[Rhiannon12866]

16. He's my congressman, too, and I sure agree with you.

He's fairly socially progressive, and co-sponsors animal protection legislation, which I support, but I can never forgive him for what he did in 2000.:grr:

Check out this new campaign ad, very amusing. He apparently also likes to party with underage drunken frat boys, which should certainly be on the record...

http://www.youtube.com:80/watch?v=fdtGQN_mUOw

[fujiyama]

11. Shays is another fake moderate repuke

I really want to see him go down, along with Chafee, especially after his bizarre comments about Abu Ghraib not being torture. I can't believe how easilly many fall for this "moderate republican" bullshit.

[Cooley Hurd]

14. K&R - GREAT news about Gillibrand!!!

:thumbsup:

:kick:

[Rhiannon12866]

15. K&R, from me!!! Good news!

:woohoo:

Check out this thread from this past weekend on Sweeney:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=364&topic_id=2392577&mesg_id=2392577

And my favorite post of all, new campaign ad::rofl:
http://www.youtube.com:80/watch?v=fdtGQN_mUOw

[Cooley Hurd]

17. Morning kick - great news in NY-20!

:kick:

[Nite Owl]

18. About the signs

the campaign got a bunch more, they have been going up. I got a huge one for in front of my house I'm waiting for a friend to put up for me and a more in the trunk of my car to put out tonight. I got an email of one sign that says 'Gillibrand Congress--and I'm a Republican'(I can't post it but will get someone else to try). There is phone banking every night at headquarters in Saratoga Springs if you can make it, and there is other work to do too.

[Cooley Hurd]

19. I'll try to get up to the Saratoga HQ this week!

I stopped by the Warren Co HQ, but they were out of signs. They said they're going like hotcakes!!! :thumbsup:

Thanks for the heads-up, Nite Owl!:hi:

[Nite Owl]

20. If they are out

let me know, I'll save you one that I have.

[Cooley Hurd]

21. Thank you! I live at a busy intersection and it would receive...

...high visibility.:thumbsup:

[Danascot]

23. Speaking of signs

Check this one out:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x2417183

[Danascot]

22. Here's a link for NY-20

http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/election_tags/ny_20

There are links at TPM for other races too.