Will the Democratic party retake the house in this next election?

[Tiggeroshii]

Just wondering :shrug:

[On the Road]

1. Keeping 1998 in Mind

I'm not ready to add the "hell" just yet. The GOP was talking 30-seat pickups as well. Hope the polls are good predictors of reality.

[Grebrook]

2. I don't think the GOP was looking at polls in 1998, just common wisdom

And common wisdom is that the minority party wins big in the sixth year of a president's reign. They lost because of the impeachment witch hunt. There is no witch hunt now, and a plethora of scandals are going to drive Dems to the polls.

[On the Road]

6. That's a Good Point

I had forgotten the details and what the polls showed or didn't show.

I just know that:

-People are embarrassed to admit they're Republican these days,
-Despite being reluctant to fess up to pollsters, people on both sides sometimes hold their noses and vote the same as always,
-Foreign policy usually isn't what decides elections, and
-On election day, there is often a swing back towards the incumbent.

Add to that the registration purges in various states, which will serve to suppress the Democratic vote.

All those make me a little nervous about accepting the polls at face value. But the closer we get to election day, the better things look.

[Imagevision]

3. I beilieve it will be up to Diebold

[PFunk]

4. No.

The corporate press and machines will make sure of that.

[Downtown Hound]

5. I believe they'll take the House

But I think Diebold will prevent them from taking the Senate.