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Edited on Wed Oct-25-06 06:16 AM by yibbehobba
...but I think it's worth making the point again:
The fundamental problem of the Democratic Party is that not enough people are voting for its candidates.
We need to get more people voting for us. I think we can all agree on at least that much. Obviously the contention within the party is about the reason or reasons that this problem exists. I don't really want to get into a discussion about the ideological direction of the party right now, but I do want to look at the reality of where votes actually come from.
Almost everybody who votes for a Democrat in November must, by definition, come from one of three distinct groups:
1) People who voted for Democrats in the last election. 2) People who voted for Republicans in the last election. 3) New voters (either newly registered young'uns, or people who have historically been non-voters.)
I think it's pretty safe to say that nearly everyone from group 1 who would actually bother to vote in mid-term elections is going to vote for us. We can maybe increase this number with GOTV efforts, and efforts to energize the party. Those will be marginal, incremental gains - not the large reorientation of the electorate that is required to keep and hold the majority.
Now let's look at group two for a second. This is the most important group. It consists of a wide variety of people who could loosely be described as the "Republican Coalition" that has kept Bush and the Republicans in power lo these many years. I have seen some extremely disturbing attitudes towards these people on DU. A few weeks ago, an ex-republican (a very recent ex-republican - he voted for Bush on '04) posted on DU to tell everyone that he'd had enough, and had come over to the dems. Some of his positions were much more conservative than your average DUer, but some of them were pretty well in line with a lot of people here. He didn't come to the party because of his, or our, ideology. He came to the party because of shared values, and a sense that the Republicans no longer shared his values. (This is an important point. For most middle-of-the-road voters, values are much more important than ideology.) In any case, he was excited about being part of the Democratic party, and voting for democrats.
Now don't get me wrong, there were a lot of positive responses to this guy. But I was astonished by the number of juvenile "Fuck off, you are impure," posts I saw. And I have to wonder what the hell is the matter with those people. I have to wonder how old they are, or if they've ever read any political history. If you consider every voter from group two (the ex-Repubs) to be unwelcome in the party, then yes, we are doomed to fail. We will be stuck forever with whatever factions we can eke from groups one and three.
We are going to be in this morass until people around here realize that pulling voters from group two doesn't require turning the party into a lukewarm version of the Republicans. You can appeal to the values of many of the voters in group two, without having to mirror their ideology. How many "Reagan Democrats" actually agreed with his positions on social issues? People will vote for candidates who don't share their ideology, as long as they think they share their values. This might not be true for groups like the fundies, but it's certainly true of a lot of suburban moderates, economic conservatives, etc. Look at the Republican party over the past ten years. They've pulled tons of votes from moderates even as they were moving their party to the ideological right. Does anybody think this ideological shift is why the moderates voted for them?
This whole argument about whether to shift the party to the right or the left is ludicrous. People haven't been voting for the Republicans because they hate our ideology. If we can't even be grown up enough to look rationally at the reasons people vote for Republicans, then we are toast. Grow up. They're not all freepers. They're not all evil. And a lot of them will vote for us, but not if we treat them lke shit, which is what a lot of the ideological purists here are proposing we do.
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