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Composite Prognostication: Cook, Rothenberg, Sabato (71 GOP Seats in Play)

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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:22 PM
Original message
Composite Prognostication: Cook, Rothenberg, Sabato (71 GOP Seats in Play)
I took the most Dem-advantageous position of these three "experts".

Some of these likely GOP seats could improve as we move westward with poll closings. But watch theearly GOP leans:
NC-8, VA-10, NJ-7, Ky-2 and NY-29 (if they go DEM its a Tsunami.

GOP Seats in Play: (71)

Likely GOP 10
CO-6 MN-2 MI-7 IN-3 OH-12 FL-8 FL-9 WV-2 NY-3 NH-1

Lean GOP 12
WA-5 CA-4 CA-50 NV-3 CO-5 TX-23 IL-10 KY-2 NC-8 VA-10 NJ-7 NY-29

Tossup/Tilt GOP 19
WA-8 NV-3 AZ-1 WY-0 CO-4 KS-2 NE-3 MN-1 MN-6 WI-8 KY-3 OH-1
OH-4 VA-2 PA-4 PA-8 NY-19 NY-25 NY-26

Tossup/Tilt DEM 17
CA-11 ID-1 AZ-5 NM-1 TX-22 IL-6 KY-4 IN-9 OH-2 OH-15 FL-16 FL-22
NH-2 NY-20 CT-2 CT-4 CT-5

Lean DEM 10
IA-1 IA-2 IN-2 OH-18 FL-13 PA-6 PA-7 PA-10 NC-11 NY-24

Likely Dem 3
AZ-8 CO-7 IN-8


DEM Seats in Play: (10)

DEM Toss-up 1
GA-12 (Barrow)

DEM Lean 3
IA-03 (Boswell) IL-08 (Bean) GA-08 (Marshall)

Likely DEM 6
WV-01 (Mollohan) VT-AL (OPEN) TX-17 (Edwards) OH-06 (OPEN) LA-03 (Melancon)IN-07 (Carson)
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. 71 seats...WOW! Do you know if VA. 10 is Northern VA.?
Edited on Tue Nov-07-06 12:33 PM by in_cog_ni_to
I heard political analyst, Plotkin on cspan the other day and he said "watch Northern Virginia and if the early returns show a 40-50-low 60s for Dems, it's game over for the repubs in VA."
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. It is
Judy Feder is giving Frank Wolf a run for his money and she just might win this race.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. OK. Thanks!
I'll be watching that one closely!
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. is VA-10 Loudoun County?
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. It's Loudoun County
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
6. kick and please recommend
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