Here's my analysis of the voting trend

[louis c]

We are getting record turnout, everywhere.

Generally, the Republicans do a slightly better job at GOTV than we do, about 3%. In addition, our demographics (minorities and young voters) are harder to get out.

Both parties leave the independents alone, because neither knows where they stand, and they are reluctant to tell us.

Here's my analysis, the huge turnout seems to erase the GOTV advantage of the Republicans, because our voters are angrier and hungrier. The Independents were polling at 2-1 Democratic. There's the trend line. Independents are making this a record turnout, and we'll be carrying them by huge margins, especially in the East and Mid-West, where all the important races are.

Don't be surprised if we have a blow-out in the House (30 to 35 seats) and we may even take the Senate. Remember, the senate math is against us. We have to just about run the table to get to a 51 total and even then, asshole Lieberman could still stab us in the back, should he win.

[Hav]

1. .

Well yes, I'm quite optimistic but in 2004 there were reports about high turnout as well and we know who turned out :/.
But I think this time we really have the polls in favour of our side and the support of the Independents.

[louis c]

2. In 2004, the indies broke 50-50

That's my point, they are noe 60-40 us.

They always come out in a presidential year, but now they're coming out in a mid-term. The only reason to come out this year, as opposed to past mid-terms, is anger.

and angry voters vote for change.

[H2O Man]

3. I agree.

And the republicans I've seen on tv today seem unhappy about the large turn-out. (In fact, Chris Matthews just noted it favors democrats.)

[louis c]

4. my point, exactly

[H2O Man]

5. It sounds like

the number of voters is unexpectedly high across the country.