Last 2 Elections Rasmussen Cleans Up in Its Election Predictions

[tritsofme]

2006 Governor
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/GovernorResults.htm

2006 Senate
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/FinalSenateResults.htm

2004 President
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/MembersOnly/Election%202004%20Tracking%20Archive/Election%202004%20Summary.htm

The only race their final poll got wrong in 2006 was the MO Senate, and it was well within MoE.

So I hope in the future their polls will be looked at as more than RW filth, especially if the polls result is not the one you prefer.

[Ignacio Upton]

1. Rasmussen may be right-wing, be he is credible

n/t.

[FogerRox]

2. Rasmussen maybe a bit to the right but, but they are consistant

And there are many other polls that are way off all the time. Their state level polls are pretty good.

[Ignacio Upton]

3. Yeah, he only fucks up on Bush's job approval rating

But that is because he asks the question using "somewhat" or "strongly" options for approve and disapprove.

[Grebrook]

4. I find Rasmussen is only inaccurate in its job approval, because they word their questions ambiguous

ly. You can't word a question of "Who are you going to vote for?" very ambiguosly. But they have a way of asking, "Do you somewhat approve? Somewhat disapprove?"

That is a strange way to ask people if they think Bush is doing a good job. If they just asked "Do you think the fucker is getting it right or not?" I think their results would be more in line with most polling groups.

They're fairly reliable on everything else.

[skipos]

5. Ras' Bush approval ratings are a joke, but I think their other polls are pretty good. nt

[Ediacara]

6. He also get Minnesota Gov wrong

BUT, just as in the MO Senate race, it was a very close election result, and very close poll result.