Political brief: It won’t be a bi-partisan wave

[proud2BlibKansan]

Feb 9, 2006
by Nathan L. Gonzales ( bio | archive | contact )


With a potential political wave developing, Republicans should face the reality that it likely will only break one way – toward the Democrats.

GOP leaders in Washington are trying to point out the “hypocrisy” of the Democratic attacks on ethics and corruption, but recent history shows that if a wave develops, it will disproportionately hurt one party over the other.

Not only are Republicans likely to lose seats this November, but their chances of defeating a Democratic incumbent or taking over a Democratic open seat are minimal. Sure, the GOP has opportunities against newly-appointed Sen. Bob Menendez (D) in New Jersey and a handful of other Democratic incumbents, as well as in open seats in Minnesota and Maryland, but in “wave” elections, competitive seats tend to break heavily toward one party.

<skip>

But the bottom line is that Republicans should not depend on off-setting losses in Pennsylvania, Ohio, or Montana with wins elsewhere. Over the last 25 years, when the wave hits, only one party drowns.

Nathan Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a non-partisan newsletter that handicaps U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial elections

http://www.townhall.com/opinion/columns/NathanLGonzales/2006/02/09/185936.html

[BillZBubb]

1. Let's hope America wakes up at long last and does the wave!

We still have a long way to go before the elections and the sheeple have been played by the Repugs time and again. Based on history, they'll fall for it again. Hope I'm wrong.

[saltpoint]

2. Sounds pretty good out there in the distant horizon and it's good

news for weary ears here tonight, too.

I appreciate this post a lot.

Yes. Let's have us a blue tsunami and let it hit red soil real hard.

[proud2BlibKansan]

4. It's from Townhall

That interested me more than the content.

[Fridays Child]

3. Republicans will hold fake rallies and tell the media how to lie...

...about the numbers, then, come November and, again, in 2008, they'll just steal the election. And everybody will think that Republican really must have had the votes because they saw all those rallies and they heard about the numbers. The fascist neocons will not be stopped until everybody who gives a damn about this country realizes what's happening right under their noses.