Jan. 7 Rasmussen: DeWine 43% Hackett 39%, DeWine 45% Brown 40%

[tgnyc]

Discuss.

[Tiggeroshii]

1. That's January 7.

The latest polls show both Brown and HAckett ahead...

[tgnyc]

10. link?

[Tiggeroshii]

12. here ya go -this is zogby, wsj tho

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash05a.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1

Do you know if the rasmussen poll you are referring to is withint he margin of error?

[Jackpine Radical]

2. Fucking up an election is hard work when your opponent

is self-destructing in front of you.

The Democrat Losers Club is having to put in overtime on their magnificent efforts to blow 2006.

[bullimiami]

3. if you accept as valid it shows statistically no difference.

im sure the polls error is at least a few points.
so who is the better candidate from here on out? obviously those with clout thought it was brown.
i understand the desire to avoid the expense and effort of a primary battle.
was it right? dunno, its politics though.

[corkhead]

4. When the dust settles, Brown will be the front runner.

Whether Diebold will let him win is another matter.

[SteppingRazor]

5. But, we should mention also that Hackett's own internal polling...

showed the primary at 46 percent for Brown, 24 percent for Hackett:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/thenation/20060215/cm_thenation/1559896;_ylt=A86.I1sYifNDHz8ARgb9wxIF;_ylu=X3oDMTBjMHVqMTQ4BHNlYwN5bnN1YmNhdA--

[liberal N proud]

6. Here are some numbers that show a different picture

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=172x12602

Sherrod Brown…...………41
Sherrod Brown (lean)……3
Mike DeWine………..…....38
Mike DeWine (lean)……....3
Neither/other (VOL)…..…7
Not sure………………...........8

[tgnyc]

8. 44%/41%.Within MOE. Statististical tie. Same as in the original post.

[WI_DEM]

7. So what? they both had/have an equal chance at beating Dewine

Hackett didn't have to get out of the race, you know.

[Stewie]

9. I love Paul Hackett, but...

...if he and Brown are statiscally identical in the polls (each of those margins are within the margin of error) and Brown has more cash on hand, it's best to prevent a primary that would bleed that and go with the more prepared candidate.

[liberal N proud]

11. That is what I have been trying to tell everyone here for two days

Now an all out effort can be mounted against Dewine.

[Lexingtonian]

13. a fairly useless polling

Those are essentially the generic partisan baselines in Ohio- 45% R, 40-42% D.

The only interesting thing about the poll is that all the swing voters have backed off from DeWine this early. They've been leaving Republican incumbents far in advance of election day this cycle- you see it first in the very Blue states late last fall, it shows up in the Purple States in the last month or two, in a couple of months it'll begin to appear in deeply Red States.

[tgnyc]

14. You mean this tells us nothing about the relative strength of the two

Democrats? Any two Democrats would have polled those numbers?