So how long before Bush launches strikes against Iran?

[x-g.o.p.er]

And how will he get the sheeple behind him?

I would imagine that he would use the "Iran has nukes and will use them against us", but that argument has been used, and was proven false.

But I guess if you tell a big enough lie long enough, it becomes fact.

What do you guys think?

[bananas]

1. The sheeple are already behind him

Even on DU a lot of people support air strikes now to prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons ten years in the future.

[acmejack]

4. I think not!

A lot of is relative-compared to what? There is certainly no popular clamor here to bomb Iran.

[maveric]

11. If I was Iran I'd want nukes too. Look at their geography.

How many countries bordering them or near them have nukes?
Russia
Pakistan
India
USA
China
Israel(?)
N Korea

Did I miss anybody?

[Hutchewon]

2. I've been hearing for over a year that

the attacks will be next month. So we'll see. His Travesty will use fear and lies to get the sheeple behind him. That has been his formula since the get go.

[baldguy]

3. Between now and August.

He needs to have us fully entrenched before the November elections.

[TheCentepedeShoes]

5. Before the bourse

of course. (sorry)

[x-g.o.p.er]

9. Of Course, LOL....n/t

[Somawas]

6. He & the NeoCons will MIHOP another attck if they have to. nt

[liberal N proud]

7. I'm thinking June - July time frame

[Rocknrule]

8. One thing working against him

Unlike Iraq, Iran doesn't have a leader who is a household name in America, who everyone knows and hates. But then again, if he wants a war, the opinions of lesser people like us sure as hell won't stop him.

[SeattleGirl]

10. My question is, with whom will he fight another war?

The military is stretched so thin already, servicemen and women are being rotated in and out of Iraq like there's a revolving door there, and people aren't exactly signing up in droves to join the military. I'm not saying Shrubby won't launch an attack if that's what floats his boat, but the reality is, we don't have enough military to get into a THIRD war while there are still two going on. Of course, now that I think about it, my point makes sense and, well, uh....never mind.

[eridani]

23. You are forgetting where Iran's oil is

90% of it is in a small province directly adjacent to Iraq. Taking it over and bombing the rest of Iran is just the kind of thing that the neocons would think is doable. Fucking stupid, and likely to spin way out of control, but when has that ever stopped them?

[0rganism]

12. Before March 20, and he will use the standard methods of warmongering

with propaganda delivered through the usual channels: cable news, the NYT, and talk radio.

The propaganda doesn't even have to be very persuasive this time; he's not running for re-election, and congress has basically declared itself irrelevant to any decisions appropriate for a "unitary executive in wartime."

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

13. Flagwaving, cami clad generals, and "smart" bombs trump common sense.

Not to mention good old reliable fear pumped into the populace by politicians and "experts".

When? Whenever they finish going through all the motions of seeking a "diplomatic solution" and hypnotizing the people with the usual bogeyman terror.

[FreedomAngel82]

14. I believe you'll start hearing more about attacks

before the end of spring. So perhaps April or early June. It has to time in with the midterms just like Iraq.

[meganmonkey]

15. 6 weeks.

:(

[Disturbed]

16. The bush Regime will force the majority of Dems to...

give him a "blank check" just like the last time by framing the issue just like the last time. Will the majority of Dems cave in just like the last time?

[meganmonkey]

18. Yesterday in the House was the first step and they caved

404 to 4, the House passed a resolution to send Iran to the UN Security Council.

Dennis Kucinich spoke out against it, and made really good points about why it is a bad idea, but only 4 people voted against it. It was awful. There is a thread about it here, including links to the roll call:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=2113015&mesg_id=2113941

It amazes me that it happened so fast and so few people talked about it. It's the legislative first step on the march to war. And no one seemed to notice, so yeah, I think they are going to pull it off again.
:(

[eridani]

24. Kucinich, Jim McDermott and Pete Stark for the Dems

Ron Paul for the Republicans. Just the usual small number of representatives that are 6 months to 20 years ahead of everyone else.

[pinto]

17. I don't think the Administration has the leeway for pre-emptive air strike

in Iran. Nor do I think they want to necessarily push the issue, regardless of the talk.

Iran, unlike Iraq, is a formidable, well connected state. Russia has large interest in the country as do other Mid Asian nations.

The Pentagon thought Iraq was an easy pick-off and the Administration played that and Iraq's isolation in the national community as cover. Doubt if that one will fly again.

I could very well be wrong, of course.

[x-g.o.p.er]

19. A full blown invasion, I agree....

but airstrikes could be done with a snap of the finger.

Which is about as much thought as this admisitration appears to give before putting men and women in harm's way.

[Vinca]

20. His Highness King Shrub doesn't have to convince anyone of

anything. If he wants to invade Iran, he'll invade Iran. He's above any laws . . . remember??

[Timmy5835]

21. Nothing will hapen...but tough talk

Forget about air strikes. Iran is a whole different animal then Iraq, Iran has a military, a good one, and they'll use it. The Penagon and CIA know this all too well. Iran will not sit for airstrikes. I am sure they would invade Iraq and Mother, there goes the neighborhood. I am sure Russia and a good deal of Europe would have some choice words (and maybe some sanctions for us) as well.

[genie_weenie]

22. Remember the 1 year anniversary of the election of

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad comes on 17 June, I'm sure * could drudge up his connections with the 1979 Hostage taking, put out a big speech about Ahmadinejad *certain* use of nukes on our forces in Iraq and on Israel.

17 June 2006, comes the 48hr ultimatium...

[Hardrada]

25. Well, if they start amping up the shitty country "patriotic" ditties

that might be one indicator. People in post offices sending lots of parcels to military addresses (undisclosed addresses of course). Papers showing guys kissing their wives goodbye. The usual run-up crap we've seen since Bush I days and the Gulf War. Oh, yes, the cartoons on the editorial pages dehumanizing the "enemy." These have started already in fact.

[LunaC]

26. It depends on Israel

It was reported that they threatened to initiate a preemptive strike in March. Israel denied it but I find the date of their purported attack and the start of the oil bourse to be more than coincidental. When we go into Iran, it will be in support of our ally Israel. They haven't used this excuse yet.