Geologist who predicted 1989 Bay Area Earthquake says major one will occur March 19th on West Coast

[stockholmer]

Run time: 05:01 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQXDt4VdS0E   Posted on YouTube: March 16, 2011 By YouTube Member: TheZenoEffect Views on YouTube: 304   Posted on DU: March 16, 2011 By DU Member: stockholmer Views on DU: 8796

 
he offers a multitude of predictive signs and causational factors

[Skip_In_Boulder]

1. There have been a lot of different groups saying there are more

major quakes to come. Seems a lot of them are really worried about the Pacific Ring of Fire.

[stockholmer]

2. another interview with Berkland

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-vZkPP1RfQ

[CreekDog]

5. stop!

yikes.

and he did not predict the 1989 earthquake. he's been putting out a newsletter for years (which he charges for) and the way he writes it, can claim to predict any earthquake anywhere.

please stop, this is alarming people and Berkland is really problematic.

[CreekDog]

3. please don't quote this crackpot --USGS staff (where he worked) wouldn't even say his name to me

this was back in the 1990's.

he has this newsletter that sadly, one of my relatives used to receive. it was nonsense and he was always sort of "predicting" something, but it was all so vague, it was like astrology or cold reading in that it could always be right but never could be wrong.

then he started going on Art Bell all the time.

he had one interesting idea (about the lost pets index) without a causal link, but then he just took it and other things to very nonscientific levels.

huge unrec.

if you're going to panic, never do it because of this man.

:wtf:

[oldhippydude]

8. fokkks news

is quoting art bell for science?...actualy art probably does have more facts!!!

[TheEuclideanOne]

18. actually, once I heard Art Bell's name, he lost all credibility.

I think that you can learn more about Art Bell here: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/crackpot

[CrawlingChaos]

9. ah yes, it's coming back to me now

As a Bay Area resident who was hit hard by Loma Prieta, I remember being irritated by the local media promoting his predictions, which were playing havoc with my raw nerves. Didn't he predict a second large quake in the Bay Area to take place shortly after Loma Prieta which, needless to say, never materialized? And yet Cavuto refers to his impressive track record. :eyes: I'm pretty sure he's not even a real geologist.

[stockholmer]

17. he is a real geologist (Im not claiming this guy is 100% correct,just opened this up for discussion)

50+ publications in Geology Listed in 8 Who’s Who publications, including Who’s Who in America

Fellow, Geological Society of America
Member, Assoc. Engin. Geologists
Member, Assoc. Earthquake Engineering Research Inst. (Past VP San Francisco Section)
Member, Peninsula Geological Society (Past Treasurer)
Member, American Association for the Advancement of Science
Member, American Archeological Soc.
Co-founder and past President, SABER SOC. (Soc. for Adapting Building to the Environment Reasonably)
Taught Geology at Appalachian State University and San Jose State University

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Berkland

[CrawlingChaos]

26. I thought I remembered a lack of qualifications...

...so I gave it a quick googling. The following article mentions that he does not have a graduate degree:

http://www.santacruzsentinel.com/localnews/ci_13574281

So I guess it depends on how you define geologist. I assume he had a hand in that Wikipedia page.

I hear what you're saying about opening something up for discussion. I just know from firsthand experience that stuff like this creates anxiety for people in quake-prone areas in a way that doesn't translate to anything helpful, and it should be underscored that this person has made many, many predictions that came to nothing.

[gateley]

10. I heard Berkland's thing about the lost pets (this was on a local radio show in

about 1990), and shortly after we had a quake. I went to the library to look up the Seattle Times on microfiche (!) and the number of lost animals had tripled in the two or three days prior to the quake, which was interesting but really kind of made sense. I never really bothered to 'track' it, though. I heard him on Art Bell several times but as you say, his 'predictions' were so vague I never really paid attention. I know when he'd do a follow up show he'd go "and I predicted a X magnitude quake in this area between the dates of X and X, and there was this quake.... so that was a hit. I'd go "huh?" -- soooooo not on the mark. I wouldn't pack my bags and head for the hills based on what he says.

Now just watch, this one will come to pass! :rofl:

[CreekDog]

12. I was at USGS in Menlo Park (his former workplace) and...

While at a fair down there, I asked some staff there about him.

The staffer said, "we don't say that name around here".

:rofl: :wtf:

[TheEuclideanOne]

19. This guy is 100% right!

Work with me here.... I see a huge opportunity.....maybe we can induce mass suicide of Fox vieweres if we spread enough of these rumors. I am sure we can get Glenn Beck involved since he already has an apocolyptic theme going on his show. In fact, if he can sell them Gold before the end of the World, he will be in for sure.

[KT2000]

4. Well, I already told my

relatives to not even come looking for me when the big one happens here. My neighborhood will turn to liquid and empty into the Strait.
A 9.0 has been predicted here, due to the Ring of Fire, for years but that did not stop those in charge from building the only hospital on a cliff, build a town on fill next to the harbor or have only one road out of here.

A local man writes a letter to the editor periodically, instructing people how to prepare but no one takes him seriously. That is too bad because he is right.

[gateley]

11. Where are you? nt

[KT2000]

25. Sequim n/t

[Skip_In_Boulder]

6. You know I just read something in the last couple of days

that was talking about a fish kill that happened off the coast of Japan about a week before their quake hit. Can't remember where I saw it now.

[Ghost Dog]

7. That would certainly fuck up the global economy. Keep your eyes on Solar activity,

and therefore that of terrestrial magnetosphere.

The sun is quieting down as the last of the recent big sunspots, AR1169, rotates off the western limb. NOAA forecasters estimate a slight 1% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.
http://www.spaceweather.com/

[pam4water]

13. Puts on my incredulous hat.

[spicegal]

14. It's pretty scary. Seems like California is about due for

an earthquake. We've had some biggies lately - Haiti and now Japan.

[stockholmer]

15. Haiti, then Chile, then New Zealand multi, now Japan multi, just draw the path on the rim of fire

[mwb970]

16. And the world is going to end in May. Or in 2012. Or something like that.

:eyes:

[Scottybeamer70]

20. and, and, and.......

all the crazies are coming out of the woodwork now!
They have all suddenly become experts and predictors of doom. Ugh

[Uben]

21. MArch 19th would be my guess, too......

...since we will be experiencing a "super moon" on that date. That means the moon will be the closest it's been to earth since '92.
I think he suspects the gravitational pull from the moon will cause the disaster, and it may well happen.

As a precaution, I'm gonna go ahead and eat all my M&Ms now so they don't get wasted!

[greiner3]

22. You could have warned this was on Fox.

[Imagevision]

23. Well, I'll let you know after Saturday...

[Generic Other]

24. My fear too

I have tracked the clockwise motion of the quakes for years.

[Change Happens]

27. Just saw on another thread that a dog predicted one too?

Not sure if the one in Japan or the dog is predicting one to come?

[ReggieVeggie]

28. Weather forecasters do better than earthquake predictors

and that's not saying much