Obama closing on Clinton in Pennsylvania

[Omaha Steve]

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/04/obama_closing_o_1.html

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor April 8, 2008 09:50 AM

Barack Obama is closing fast in Pennsylvania, where he hopes to finally knock out Hillary Clinton from the Democratic race.

A Quinnipiac University poll out today shows Clinton leading 50 percent to 44 percent, but that 6-percentage-point edge is down from 9 percentage points last week and 12 percentage points in mid-March in the same survey.

The poll, conducted Thursday through Sunday among 1,340 likely Democratic voters, has a margin of sampling error was plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

Obama is being buoyed in Pennsylvania by a barrage of TV ads -- he's outspending Clinton 3-1 by some measures -- plus last week's bus tour across the state. The trend during the entire nomination fight has been that the more time he spends in a state, the higher he rises in the polls.

Clinton, behind in delegates and popular vote, is counting on a significant win in Pennsylvania on April 22 to narrow the gap and build momentum toward the remaining contests.

[goclark]

1. I saw another pol that said she was up by 18 points ?

I may be wrong but I saw it here a few minutes ago.

I like your poll better ~ please tell me it's right.

[4_Legs_Good]

2. When watching these new polls, please keep expectations in mind...

And re-read this exhaustive analysis

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=388x3475

Again, while I'd love a tight race in PA, I don't think we're going to see one (based largely on the above analysis - these guys are GOOD), so try to keep expectations low.

David