Above average, maybe hyperactive, hurricane season forecast...

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NOAA: 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

SUMMARY
NOAA’s 2007 Atlantic hurricane season outlook indicates a very high 75% chance of an above-normal hurricane season, a 20% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 5% chance of a below-normal season. This outlook is produced by scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), National Hurricane Center (NHC), Hurricane Research Division (HRD), and Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC). See NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons.

The outlook calls for a very high likelihood of an above-normal hurricane season, with 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The likely range of the ACE index is 125% to 210% of the median. This prediction signifies an expected sharp increase in activity from the near-normal season observed in 2006.

The confluence of an ENSO negative/La Nina event, positive duo-decadal oscillations, predicted low shear at upper heights and above normal sea-surface temperatures should make this a very active season. Every precaution should be taken and preparation measures should be in place now for everyone living along the Gulf coast and the southeast seaboard. Remember, it is foolish to believe that the federal government can do anything under the current psychotic administration. Make preparations now.