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The Straight Story Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 10:05 PM
Original message
Anyone here know how you win an election?
I have seen a lot of talk about why we have to do X/Y/Z to win, how a candidate looks, their hair, their house, IWR vote, gay rights stances, religion stances or discussing religion, their house, their footprint, and hell the list is so long my hair would grow down to my ass by the time I was finish listing them (and I shaved it all off a week ago).

Obviously, you have to have enough votes to win and not be diebolded. That much is a given.

Outside of that - how does a candidate/party win? How do you get enough people to vote for you and not the other person running?

Some things appear to lose votes, other things seem to reel in the swingers.

I am no expert so I toss it out to others here - how do you win, or perhaps - how do you lose? And how is all that applied to each election we look at here?

If someone has not done so already, they need to write a book on the psychology of voters :)
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
1. these days I think you have to be as pissed off as the electorate...
but not sound nuts while voicing their frustration.

Passion and truth (what's that?) are a must.

You basically have to be Al Gore. :evilgrin:
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:15 PM
Response to Original message
2. Shoe leather.
Canvasses, voter lists, car pools for the elderly and disabled on Election day, phone banks.

Oh, and money. Lots of money.
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The Straight Story Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:17 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Same today as before, my wife has burned a lot of shoe leather in her time
Working for her mom to be elected in this red county we are in, and for her dad and his union friends running for office as dems.

Seems to have worked too - her mom is still president of trustees for the school board, as a dem, in a big red county - and has never lost an election here.

Getting out the vote, and the message. Seems ok to me.
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Dig it
Edited on Tue Jun-05-07 11:24 PM by WilliamPitt
http://www.truthout.org/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/58/18168

The Politics of Shoe Leather
By William Rivers Pitt
t r u t h o u t | Perspective

Monday 06 March 2006

All politics is local.

- Thomas P. "Tip" O'Neill (D-Mass.), Speaker of the House


If you met Rudy Perkins on the streets of Keene, NH, you would not immediately suspect that you were dealing with a shaper of momentous events. If you told him he was such a man, he'd laugh and shake his head. Perkins, with his silver-toned hair and neatly-trimmed moustache, has been a horticulturist and a lawyer in his time. He is self-possessed and soft-spoken, quick to smile and easy to talk to.

The thing is, Rudy Perkins played a significant role in one of the great stories of the 2004 election. The thing is, if you met Rudy Perkins in Keene, NH, he'd likely be shaking your hand from behind a folding table covered with political and campaign literature. Perkins has, for the last several years, been working as a dedicated political activist, and in his own small way, helped to turn the state of New Hampshire blue in 2004.

Rudy Perkins is one of the founding members of a group called New Hampshire Swing the Vote. Swing the Vote was founded in the run-up to the 2004 Presidential election. The goals of the group were neither grand nor epic in scope; their mission was not to stop the Iraq occupation or impeach George W. Bush. They weren't looking to get involved in the national push to get John Kerry elected president. Their goal was singular and narrow, small and attainable, and entirely local.

Swing the Vote sought to flip Cheshire County, in the southwest corner of New Hampshire, to the Democrats.

"There were nearly 30,000 eligible voters in Cheshire County who didn't vote during the 2000 election," says Perkins. "Bush won the state by a margin of 7,211 votes. Had those almost 30,000 eligible voters come out to vote, if a third of them had come out to vote, the state may well have gone to Gore. Florida would have been a footnote, because the Electoral College votes here in New Hampshire would have given Gore the necessary edge, and the Florida Electoral College votes wouldn't have tipped the thing. The Supreme Court would never have gotten involved."

Analyzing these numbers, the might-have-beens became unendurable to Perkins. He decided that the next election was going to be different. It worked like this: Perkins, along with Swing the Vote steering committee members Bonnie and Leah, cobbled together a group of volunteers as the 2004 election season began to loom. They mapped out Cheshire County and parceled out areas for volunteers to work. The volunteers went out in pairs, clipboards in hand, and knocked on as many Cheshire County doors as they could manage.

This was not, however, your standard canvassing project. First of all, the volunteers were sternly instructed not to stand there and proselytize to the people they spoke to. They had a series of questions to ask, beginning with "Are you registered to vote?" before moving on to "Do you vote?" and concluding with "What issues are of most concern to you?" The basic idea was to get people talking.

"It was pretty amazing," recalls Perkins. "At first, the person who answered the door would be incredulous, like they were dealing with a salesman. But the questions we asked drew them out, and allowed them to express their opinions without interruption. These days, with the television news convincing people that what they are being told is what they already believe, there isn't a lot of political conversation happening. I got the sense that, for a lot of the people I spoke to, this was the first time they were asked what their opinions were in a long time. For some of them, I really think it was the first time."

"It is a strange thing in America," says Perkins, "that, for some reason, talking about politics is improper or impolite or rude. But people really want to talk, they want to express what they believe. I had one guy talk my ear off for twenty minutes and then follow me down the driveway after I left so he could keep telling me what he believed. It was great."

Another aspect of their work that was different was the choice of who to canvass. There were many groups making similar efforts in New Hampshire at the time. Some spoke only to registered voters, some only to registered Democrats, some only to registered Republicans. Swing the Vote decided to talk to everyone, Democrat or Republican, registered or unregistered.

Each volunteer was given a specific goal: so many doors per day, per week, per month. They wore out the shoe leather in Troy, Alstead, Swanzey, Keene, Dublin, Jaffrey, getting people to talk about what concerned them in the upcoming election. If people weren't registered, they explained how to register. They let people know that New Hampshire allows same-day voter registration, and if they wanted to, they could go down to their polling place on election day, register right there, and vote.

It worked. On election day 2004, Cheshire County saw the largest voter turnout in recent memory. Some 6,000 unregistered voters came out, people who had not been targeted by any other group because they were not on any voter roll. They registered, and they voted. Cheshire County went blue, and for only the third time since 1948, New Hampshire was won by a Democratic presidential candidate.

"We certainly were not alone in this," says Perkins. "MoveOn, the Sierra Club, America Coming Together and a lot of other groups did great work here. But I do believe that Swing the Vote played an important role in what happened. Kerry lost the election, sure, but not in New Hampshire. We picked a goal, stuck to the mission, and won what we needed to win."

That was the trick, Perkins will tell anyone who cares to listen. One of the great difficulties on the Left is an all-encompassing sense that so much has gone wrong, and that so much needs immediate fixing. It can become unutterably daunting to try to take in the whole forest. Rudy Perkins and the Swing the Vote crew are well aware of everything that has gone sideways in the last several years, but they chose to let the forest be. They picked a tree instead, and bent all their efforts to it.

"It was all about mission," says Perkins. "We couldn't fix everything, but we could do something about Cheshire County. It required the discipline to stick to that one thing, to avoid drifting, to do it every single day. We needed to keep our volunteers on that same disciplined path - so many doors per day, a goal that can be accomplished. And it was hard. We got more than a few doors slammed in our faces. We walked miles and miles and miles."

They picked a critical area and dug in, a small piece of the larger puzzle where they could actually affect change. They did not stop the war in Iraq, end the Washington cronyism, bring accountability back to the White House, or derail the vexing budgetary priorities of this administration and this congress. But had the election gone the other way, Swing the Vote would have, in their own small way, done a great deal to move towards addressing all of these issues.

Swing the Vote is digging in again. The 2006 midterm elections are nine months away, but as far as Perkins is concerned, it is entirely the right time to begin the back and fill. All four of New Hampshire's Congressional representatives are Republicans, all four are stalwart supporters of the Bush administration, and two of them - Jeb Bradley in the 1st District and Charlie Bass in the 2nd District - are up for re-election in November. Rudy Perkins and the Swing the Vote crew are going to tackle Cheshire County again.

"It has been said many times about each of the last two elections," says Perkins, "that each was the most important election in our lifetime. But I do truly believe that these midterms in 2006 are the most important elections in my lifetime, perhaps the most important elections since 1864. This election could very well determine the fate and future of this country, of our rights, of everything. If the Democrats can take back Congress, or even take back one wing of Congress, everything that has been happening can be stopped."

For the record, there are fifteen Republican seats up for grabs in the House this November. Six Republican senators who are running again in November have approval ratings below 50%. Fifteen seats are needed for the Democrats to take back the House, and six seats are needed for the Democrats to take back the Senate. The anemic approval ratings for both Bush and the GOP majority in Congress suggest significant Democratic gains in November are not out of the question. At a minimum, solid gains would position the Democrats to regain control of Congress in 2008, and perhaps the White House as well.

"In every sense," says Perkins, "we are looking to emulate the victors. The GOP didn't come to control the entire government by accident. They picked their spots, small areas of critical importance, and worked them. They built what they have from the ground up, one brick at a time. It took a while and a lot of work, but you can see the results today. That's what we have to do, and that's what we are doing."

Big storms gather around small particles. The folks in Swing the Vote can tell you all about that.

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ebayfool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 04:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
20. I only know of 2 women that have been pres of the BCSD board ...
sure hope that you got the good one!

(I thought the current president of the BCSD board was a repub - RNC delegate & arnold supporter? ie: NOT the good one!)

My father is a school board member (& a raging repub) of one of the little outlying communities, not BCSD. You can't pick family, although you CAN move away & ignore them! I'm sure he's as pleased w/the arrangement as I am.


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Rex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:19 PM
Response to Original message
4. Money.
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The Straight Story Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Well...money and not looking like your avatar :)
though it may play well in some red areas...:rofl:
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Rex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Jacks back!
I'd vote for Jack! :)
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The Straight Story Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Vote for Jack (in the box)
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Elwood P Dowd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. Collect hundreds of millions of dollars.
Tell every lie in the book to the voters - promise them everything and give them nothing. Kiss the ass of your filthy rich corporate donors. Get elected thanks to the corporate media. Continue wrecking our country. It's been working since 1980.
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Rex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:29 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. We had a popular president - Bill Clinton
and the DC and M$M people hated him SO MUCH, that he got impeached over a blowjob!

Meanwhile, in Merika - George Bush commits one war crime after another, and the DC and M$M people lap it up like pigs at a troff.

Only in America.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:47 PM
Response to Original message
11. Trust
You convince people they can trust you to make life better. For men, that they can keep their wife safe and kids fed. For women, that you can create a better future for their kids than they had.

That's it. That's all. Democrats do not get it, although Obama is close.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 11:48 PM
Response to Original message
12. Look like JFK and have economic policies like FDR.
Because America's economy needs that kind of policy to correct the growing income/wealth gap in America and the ever-increasing numbers of Americans who have no health care or the millions who watched their jobs being outsourced and replaced with low-paying service sector jobs.
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ComerPerro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 12:23 AM
Response to Original message
13. I am starting to think a lot of people here don't know the basics, like how a bill gets passed
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bling bling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 01:47 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. ...
"I'm just a bill, I'm only a bill....sittin' on Capital Hill"


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dVo3nbLYC0



oldie but goodie.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 01:39 AM
Response to Original message
14. Most elections are won by winning a critical voting block in play....
As a strategist, you study the voting blocks that you 'expect to vote for your candidate without fail' and those who will vote for your opponent 'without fail.' Then look at the straight ticket party voters. Add up the totals, and subtract from the expected turnout leaving the 'actual votes in play.' Often the total votes in play may be less than 20-30%.

You look at the demographics of the 'in play voters' and their distribution by precincts. You design your campaign 'to reach' these critical voters in numbers high enough to justify the cash outlay and effort.

The last factor is how many voters will actually show up to vote. You can look at historical records and get an idea of the general trend for all groups. However, if there are other national races and state races on the ballot, or hotly debated referendums on the ballot, turnout may be higher than usual. Conversely, if the weather is bad(ie. snow, ice, rain) turnout may be suppressed.

It is all about stitching together a coalition of voter blocks that bring you to 50% plus 1.

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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 01:48 AM
Response to Original message
16. Be eloquent, intelligent, courageous and stand up for what's right
Oh...you mean in THIS country...

Never mind.
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 02:08 AM
Response to Original message
17. Be popular for non political reasons
Be popular for non political reasons

Seriously, Im surprised no one has said this yet. Look, in the current state of things in the US of A you can win any election if you are popular for non-political reasons. It does not matter what you believe in reality. Call me cynical, but IMO its the truth.

Does this mean Paris Hilton could be our next president? No - she is missing the respect. Be a popular respected person with money and you can get elected (just look at CA).

This is not always bad - if you look at Gore he has positioned himself just right. He finally has respect, he is popular for non-political reasons and he has a lot of money. He's also qualified and has awesome ideas and beliefs - but in reality your average Joe blow on the street could care less about that. All they care about is that he is "cool" now.

I like to call this the iPod effect. Market yourself as the in-thing and you will be the in-thing - it helps if you are capable, like the iPod is (IMO), but for the majority people buy it because they have been told its what they want.
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GreenTea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 02:27 AM
Response to Original message
18. Paper ballots counted for everyone!
Edited on Wed Jun-06-07 02:36 AM by GreenTea
Precinct audits, hand counted, certainly paper ballots NOT scanned by Diebold, ES&S.

NOT by republican owned electronic voting machines companies!
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 02:45 AM
Response to Original message
19. Purchase Diebold, Sequoia, ES&S, etc etc, 3 TV stations, a gambling casino, a stadium,
120 Clear Channels of right wing hate, private security goons, a passel of protestant preachers in their mega-churches™, and bring crates of gold bar$, coin$, and ca$h.



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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
21. Liberals have to have a turnout of all their voters. That means no
exit polls giving a pre-mature win to the Dems (kerry) the day of the election. It means people have to be more motivated to vote. Something like 83% of French voted in that election. In the USA it is 65%. Bush's base is 30%. Their people show up on election day.

The young and old, the harried parents, the indigent and the poor have to have a way to get to the polls and the motivation to try very hard.

Without that..the GOP could win even as they tank in the polls.
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MedleyMisty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
22. Own the voting machines and the media?
Edited on Wed Jun-06-07 05:29 PM by sleebarker
Seems to work for Republicans.

Also, money. No matter what party you are.

When I was in elementary school, we had an old dictionary that had the Constitution in the back. I read it, and decided to be President some day. I had it all planned out - major in political science, run for city government and then state and then national. Took International Relations my first summer at TIP.

Then I got older and realized that because my parents worked in mills and I didn't have multimillionaires offering to marry me, that wasn't gonna happen.

Yay for unregulated capitalism, or as I like to call it, feudalism. Was rather surprised to see the analogy made in Gore's book - I always knew he was a smart cookie. ;)
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