http://thinkprogress.org/2007/06/08/bayh-intelligence/New Intel Report: Iraq Escalation Will Not Affect Sectarian Violence Nor Defeat Al Qaeda
Newly-disclosed intelligence reports state that
Bush’s escalation is negatively impacting the situation in Iraq and is unlikely to change the level of violence on the ground.In yesterday’s “war czar” confirmation hearing for Lt. Gen. Douglas Lute, Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN) revealed the latest “secret intelligence conclusions,” presented by top U.S. intelligence officials during a closed-door session with the Armed Services Committee last month. The conclusions largely tracked the findings of the last National Intelligence Estimate, which found Iraq to be in a state worse than civil war.
Bayh disclosed that in the closed-door hearing, the intelligence officials emphasized that a sustained U.S. presence will not aid political reconciliation nor quell sectarian violence in the near future:
Their overall consensus was that the trend in Iraq is negative. … Their assessment was that the prospect for political steps in Iraq toward meaningful reconciliation among the different parties, that those steps toward reconciliation — the political steps — would be marginal at best through the end of this calendar year. … We were also told that the state of the insurgency —
the level of violence and that sort of thing — was in all likelihood going to be about where it is today a year from now.Watch it at link~
Bayh quoted “the top CIA expert on radical Islam,” who told him recently that the U.S. presence in Iraq is generating more terrorists:
(I)n his opinion, our presence in Iraq is creating more members of Al Qaida than we are killing in Iraq.
That assessment debunks Bush’s contention that we must stay in Iraq in order to defeat al Qaeda. Lute agreed with all of the intelligence conclusions, stating that “very little progress” has been shown thus far. Explaining that there is no military solution in Iraq, Lute said “we’re not likely to see much difference in the security situation” if political and economic steps are not taken.
Transcript at link~