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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:00 PM
Original message
August could be the most dangerous month in our history....
Think about it.

Congress will take a recess, and go home to their districts.

Iran confrontation has been ratcheted up, and now that Blair is no longer got Bush's back the window for striking Iran is beginning to close.

We continue to have a large contingent of naval firepower parked off Iran's border.

We now have over 158,000 troops stationed in Iraq, and calls for an even larger 'surge.'

The last 60 days has been the deadliest time period for our soldiers since we entered Iraq.

The Iraqi government has refused to privatize their oil and give it over to the oil companies.

Al Sadr is setting up a shadow government to take over when Al Maliki is deposed.

Terrorist bombings are occurring in the Kurdish north of Iraq.

Turkey is reported to have 250,000 fully armed troops parked on the northern border, and there have been numerous calls for attacks INSIDE Iraq at Kurdish insurgents.

Saudi Arabia is facing a public disclosure by the British of huge corruption, and a dirty agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Blair government that amounted to extortion.

The Bush Adminstration has hyped the fear of a domestic terrorist attack.

The Courts are putting pressure on the Bush Administration to turn over evidence to attorneys representing gitmo detainees.

The economy is tanking, the housing market is tanking, the dollar is falling like a rock against the Euro and other currencies.

Bush/Rove/Cheney/Gonzo have declared themselves above the law and refused to provide testimony and documents to Congress.

Congressional Investigations are briming with evidence of Republican corruption and efforts to fix past elections.

Whistleblowers are exposing Halliburtion and other war profiteers who have literally stolen millions of dollars for services they never performed.

The stock market has been uncharacteristically driven up to all time levels(think some people need to get out of their positions and to exercise stock options before everything crashes?)

The prices of food and necessaries has risen more than being reported.

Loans are due to reset and bankrutpcy filings are way up, during a time when credit is being contracted and everyone knows that he interest rate has to be raised soon or foreign investors will leave the market in droves.

Bush steps up signing of executive orders which he will not make accessible to members of Congress, let alone members of the public at large.

The Republicans have to come back from the recess distancing themselves from Bush and Cheney, and their cellardwelling poll numbers as they face a total 2008 election wipeout.

Public opinion supports impeachment.


So Bush/Rove/Cheney/Gonzo are in D.C., Congress has gone home, and time is running out.

IMHO this could be the most dangerous month in our history ....

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MadMaddie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yep....something is a brewing.....don't know what it is....
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snappyturtle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-22-07 12:24 AM
Response to Reply #1
23. Here's something to add to your brew:
* is going to be in Canada in August....another Security & Prosperity Partnership of North America meeting! There's always something brewing, isn't there?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x1397074
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:08 PM
Response to Original message
2. Agree. Check your emergency kits and hug your kids, partners
and pets. :(
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Lobster Martini Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:08 PM
Response to Original message
3. April used to be the cruelest month...
Guess August is the new April like November is the new September.
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theredpen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Nah. Cruelty never goes out of season under Bush. n/t
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sanskritwarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:10 PM
Response to Original message
4. Not trying to shoot down your theory
but the periods of May and June were very Dangerous, July the month the offensives began is as of today not half as Dangerous as May and June were for US forces.......

And Kirkuk is not in the Kurdish north, it is in the Sunni Arab part of the country, the referendum to determine Kirkuk's fate is in December.

I can refute more, but I need to go to the beach.

P.S. Not that your list is not a good list, but you just have a few facts wrong is all.......Keep plugging away.
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smoogatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Kirkuk
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sanskritwarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. Incorrect
Kirkuk is in At Tamim Province which is now known as Kirkuk province, it is in the sunni Arab part of Iraq.

You can believe whatever you wish but I did a year there I know what part of Iraq Kirkuk belongs to........

http://www.upi.com/Security_Terrorism/Briefing/2007/07/12/turkey_kirkuk_referendum_risky/7534/
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smoogatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. True, there are large numbers of Sunni Arabs there now--
mostly transplanted under Saddam in an effort to alter the heavily Kurdish demographics (and loyalties) of one of Iraq's most economically important cities, as the article you link to points out. If you ask the Kurds, though, Kirkuk is part of Kurdistan. And historically until the past thirty years or so that's been the case.

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sanskritwarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. We are not talkiing historically
we are talking right now. The OP said bombs are going off in the Kuridsh north right now, by which he or she means Kirkuk. Kirkuk is not in the Kurdish zone right now, that is why the referendum is taking place. I'm familiar with Saddam's resettlement schemes, I have done analysis on Iraq since I was a young soldier 13 years ago.........Sorry if I seem rankled, there has been a lot of incorrect info on DU lately concerning Iraq and I'm getting tired of correcting people's misperceptions.......
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file83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-22-07 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #21
26. Time frames are not the only considerations.
There are many people in that region (and elsewhere in the world) that simply disagree with your geographic assessment based on cultural, ethnic, political, and historical reasons.

While it may be the official U.S. Government's position (which you agree with) that Kirkuk isn't part of Kurdistan, but that doesn't make it "true" for the people that disagree.

So you are both right, it's part of Kurdistan and at-Tamim. It just depends on who you ask.

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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #21
29. Here is proof that what I posted was correct...so go take a rest from your correcting misconceptions
Edited on Mon Jul-23-07 08:19 AM by Blackhatjack
I posted in the OP: "Terrorist bombings are occurring in the Kurdish north of Iraq."


Here is a news account that supports my factual assertion.

http://www.kurdishaspect.com/doc071607T.html

"At least 80 people were killed today and around 150 wounded in the northern Iraqi city of Kirkuk, in a devastating double suicide bombing apparently targeted against Kurds."

<snip>

"Today's double attack in the Kurdish north comes ten days after 150 people were killed in a massive suicide truck bombing in the northern village of Amerli, where a terrorist had hidden explosives packed round with nails and shrapnel underneath a load of watermelons in a truck."
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 08:05 AM
Response to Reply #4
28. The Kurds claim Kirkuk and it is in what they consider to be their territory....n/t
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williesgirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:11 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hope we're wrong, but ... recommended
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KG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. is this a gut feeling?
:hi:
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splat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:17 PM
Response to Original message
7. Fear isn't at all useful; enjoy life while you have it; we all die sometime
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enid602 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. bombing
And I just heard on Air America that American bombing in Iraq has grown five-fold in the first half of 2007 compared with the first six months of 2006.
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smoogatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
11. I think you're right in one respect--
which is that Bush will certainly use the August recess to do all kinds of devious shit, including recess appointments, executive orders, etc. But I don't think he has the balls to order an attack on Iran without the approval of the military high command--and there's no way he's going to get that approval at this point.
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zonmoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 10:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. why order an attack on iran
when you can order a false flag attack on an american city or ship and blame it on iran.

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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
12. I don't understand why Congress is given 1 month vacation.
These people already take off any day they damned well feel like.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 10:07 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. In Europe, your average worker has on average a month or more off each year in vacation.
In France, for instance, it's mandated by their labor laws. Try getting a leisure law like that passed here through the American congress.
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MiniMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 08:42 AM
Response to Reply #12
32. Its a holdover from the early days of the country. Washington is
pretty damn hot and humid in the Summer. I also believe that they are supposed to be going back and talking to their constituents. Talk loudly people.
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HeeBGBz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 10:01 PM
Response to Original message
14. Plus its prime hurricane season with the conditions ripe and ready for business
With a shift in the weather pattern at the end of this month that would steer storms into the GOM and Florida rather than the east coast north of the Carolinas. Another reason for the gas prices to skyrocket.

There are no threat areas in the tropical Atlantic to discuss, and none of the computer models are forecasting tropical storm formation over the coming week. However, there is there a major development to report--it appears likely that a major shift in the weather pattern will occur in late July across the Northern Hemisphere. If the GFS model is correct, the trough of low pressure that has been consistently in place over the Eastern U.S. will finally move off, to be replaced by a ridge of high pressure (Figure 1). This would bring a hurricane steering pattern much like we saw in 2004 and 2005, with increased risk for the Gulf of Mexico and reduced risk for the U.S. East Coast from the Carolinas northward. The east coast of Florida would remain at normal risk. The GFS model has been inconsistent in its prediction of the timing of this shift, but has been persistent enough about it that I'm forecasting a 70% likelihood of this major pattern shift occurring by the end of July. Such a shift would bring the western U.S. some relief from the current heat wave, and bring high heat and air pollution problems to the Midwest and East Coast. How long such a shift might last is impossible to predict--it could last for a week, or could remain in place for the remainder of hurricane season. I'll have an updated forecast on this pattern shift Monday, when I issue my bi-weekly hurricane outlook.
From Jeff Masters blog on WeatherUnderground

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/archive.html?tstamp=200707
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 10:12 PM
Response to Original message
17. Aside from that, everything is just ducky.
But the global geopolitical spring is wound up about as tight as it can without something going blooey. I can feel the tension way out here in the boondocks.
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Applan Donating Member (435 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
19. You forgot Pakistan!
Pakistan erupts in violence daily. Musharef's dictatorship sits on a knife edge. And worst of all, whoever overthrows him gets their hands on nucular (sic) weapons.
Bugger!
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-21-07 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
cliss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-22-07 12:11 AM
Response to Original message
22. You are absolutely right blackhatjack.
And thanks for bringing itup. I wasn't even aware of some of the events on your "shopping list".

The House of Cards is starting to wobble :smoke:
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-22-07 03:49 PM
Response to Reply #22
24. Their house of cards is already flat on the table
Everything from here on out is about making sure the media hides that fact. So far it's working.
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Lars39 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-22-07 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
25. Bushco's "Doomsday" plan would work really well in August.
Have a disaster and whoever can physically get into Congress would be part of the new government, and those who can't are out. Simple as that.
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 07:15 AM
Response to Original message
27. Kick....
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bdamomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 08:22 AM
Response to Original message
30. is Congress still planning on taking off the month of August.?
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SpiralHawk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-23-07 08:28 AM
Response to Original message
31. You forgot republicon DIAPERGATE - the biggest MESS of all
At least as far as public interest goes...
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