New forecast: Above-normal storm activity still predicted
By STEVE LYTTLE - The Charlotte Observer
Government hurricane specialists said today they remain convinced that the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than normal.
In an update to NOAA’s original forecast, issued in May, meteorologists said they predict an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season.
They expect 13 to 16 named storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, and three to five possibly becoming major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson scale).
Their forecast is consistent with that of a team from Colorado State University, led by Phillip Klotzbach and William Gray.
The Colorado State team said last week it is predicting 15 named storms, eight hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. That is down slightly from the team’s original prediction, but still above the normals of 10 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.
Gerry Bell, lead seasonal forecaster for NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center in Silver Spring, Md., said in a conference call this morning that factors continue to point to an active season.
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