satellite imagery of hurricane Dean

[madokie]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html

[daninthemoon]

1. Why can't * vacation in Jamaica?

[malaise]

22. What did Jamaicans do to you? n/t

[slackmaster]

2. More detailed images here

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

Check out Atlantic Floater 1.

[Mythsaje]

3. It's going to crawl right up to Texas/Louisiana

It has "oh shit" written all over it.

[KittyWampus]

4. Do any DU'ers familiar with Hurrican activity have any predictions? Is your thought

gut instinct or do you have some knowledge of paths etc?

[RL3AO]

7. I still think its a Mexico/Southern Texas storm.

[Ahpook]

30. I sort of think this as well..

This one is running a little south of Andrew's path. It cut a swath through southern Florida then started on a north/west trend right in to northeast Texas if i remember?

Sat through that monster.. never again.

[Akoto]

9. Well, my opinion ...

So far, the forecast models have all been very accurate. It looks like the Bermuda high in place will steer the storm away from Florida, but it also seems like it's guiding it directly into either northern Mexico or southern Texas. The severity when it arrives will depend upon whether it simply clips the Yucatan Peninsula or passes fully over it.

[Mythsaje]

10. I just have a feeling from looking at the map...

I can see it looping upward very easily, following the feeder trough of warm water up the coast and smashing into the northern edge of the gulf.

[kedrys]

11. I'm in Houston, and

I have a really really bad feeling about this one. Getting pounded by the remnants or Erin yesterday was just the warmup, I fear. :scared:

[karlrschneider]

13. I'm pretty good 3 days out but it's way too early. I'm beginning to think S. Texas

somewhat north of Corpus. But that's not a prediction, just a preliminary WAG.

[RL3AO]

15. The track will pretty much completly depend on the ULL near Florida.

[Th1onein]

24. I know how to tell where it's going.....

EXACTLY where. I don't understand why people don't use this measure anymore. My mother, who was a fisherman's daughter, told me this:

Look at the barometric pressures along the coastline. The lowest one will get hit. Every time.

[madokie]

28. I could see that as a way to predict its travels

[RL3AO]

29. You don't know what the pressures will be in 4 days though.

[WolverineDG]

42. That's true

always look to the barometric pressures on the coast. Also beware if it drops in the eye. That means the storm is about to get stronger. Lower pressure = faster winds. :scared:

dg

[Swamp Rat]

38. One could begin by tracking water temperatures and combine that with atmospheric data, etc.

then run a few models using a GIS... if I have time, I'll look at the raw data later on, but first I have to check to see if my GIS software has the right modules for creating cyclone prediction models.

[madokie]

6. Yes it do, dollars to donuts that sceerty cat will bail long before it makes it to texas way

I just hope some of the rain makes it up to the northeastern ok area, we could use the rain about now.

when I typed sceerty cat in reference to bushie* it made me think back to when I was in these kid's place so many years ago and how I would be doing if I was them with him as my commander in chief. To the ones who are paying attention it must weigh heavily on their minds. I want my kids home and my country back and nothing less will do.

[RL3AO]

5. High-res image here.

And for SSD images: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float1.html

[madokie]

8. Thats cool.

looks like there is maybe a lot of little storms in the middle of the big storm

[likesmountains 52]

14. While I have family in New Orleans who are just getting over Katrina...I still find these

photos to be really beautiful...

[Swamp Rat]

39. I know what you mean

and I'm here in New Orleans.

[stimbox]

12. This Hurricane Dean?

[Swamp Rat]

16. Typhoon Sepat:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/movies/gmswv/gmswvjava.html

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/westpac/images/images.html

http://www.hurricanezone.net/

[RL3AO]

17. I was chating with a guy last night that is there.

Hes a typhoon hunter.

Heres his last report (about 30 minutes old)


"We're in a hospital filming chaos from ambulance bay...blowing 120mi/h <193km/h> at least...can feel pressure dropping in ears!!"

[Swamp Rat]

23. Taiwan?

What area?

[RL3AO]

27. He is in Hualien.

[Swamp Rat]

33. That is probably where the worst part of the storm surge is occurring.

I hope he will be ok.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/westpac/movies/gmsirn/gmsirnjava.html

[RL3AO]

35. Thats why he is there. To be in the eye and film it.

[madokie]

19. In the spring I wished all I had to worry about was hurricanes while this time of the year

I'm glad I only have to worry about tornaders. funny how that is

[Swamp Rat]

I wish I could say the same.

My house is still messed up from Katrina.... I can't fucking sleep knowing another hurricane might hit New Orleans. I am glued to the computer all night watching imagery. If I didn't have to spend so much time preparing for another hurricane I would download the raw data from remote sensing devices and make my own maps and GIS prediction models/scenarios:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgisprods.shtml

[WolverineDG]

44. I hear ya, Swampy!

I'm over 100 miles inland, but I'm worried about Dean. If it hits anywhere between northern Mexico & Corpus, I'm getting slammed. :scared: I do hope it does miss New Orleans; you guys have had enough to deal with.

dg

[Swamp Rat]

46. I'm also worried about folks who live near the Sabine River who got hit by Rita.

:(

[WolverineDG]

49. Yeah, they just took a bath with Erin too

Houston was all but underwater & San Antonio flooded. Didn't get much where I am, though, which was very unexpected. I'm off tomorrow to stock up on my hurricane stuff.

dg

[malaise]

26. That puts Dean in perspective

or maybe not. A Cat 4 is Cat 4 no matter where on the planet.

[RL3AO]

31. It was a Cat 5

********************************************************
**************THIS IS NOT HURRICANE DEAN****************
********************************************************



********************************************************
**************THIS IS NOT HURRICANE DEAN****************
********************************************************

[malaise]

37. After Cat 3 it hardly matters

The good news for us is that Dean is moving quickly.

[uppityperson]

51. This is Sepat, right? a REALLY BIG typhoon

Taiwan is getting hit hard I think. I hope people are able to stay safe.

[Swamp Rat]

34. Will you be ok malaise???

:hug: :hug: :hug:

I was worried about you last night.

[malaise]

43. I'll be fine

We're almost ready. Tomorrow we'll move the patio stuff and put shutters on the glass windows and doors.
I pulled out the old phone that doesn't use electricity because land lines usually survive better than cell phones. Hubby has made sure we have essentials - lots of wine and beer.

I am way more worried about our poor and vulnerable, but all the shelters have been opened today. Our Disaster Preparation people are very competent.

Heard the US Embassy has told staff to evacuate.

Thanks bro.

[RL3AO]

45. Just non important staff was given permission to leave.

[Subdivisions]

18. Perspective: Which way will he go?

[RL3AO]

20. The upper level low off the east coast of Florida will decide pretty much single handily.

[madokie]

25. I see it as possibly making a right turn when it passes over DR and Haiti and go up the east coast

the drag on the right side as to what would be making it turn

[B2G]

40. This is not an East Coast storm

Many possiblities still, but that isn't one of them. NOLA is a stretch right now.

[RL3AO]

21. Probably the second to last visible before sunset.

[DU GrovelBot]

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[Evoman]

36. Hurricane Dean is only going to be big until it does "The Dean Scream".

Then the media will turn against it and lower its class.

[RL3AO]

41. Recon is airborne.

Recon data here: http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/station/KNHC/URNT15.KNHC
Decoder here: http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

[Swamp Rat]

50. Here too:

http://flhurricane.com/recon/

[RL3AO]

47. Beautiful image.

[AtomicKitten]

48. I thought of Howard Dean when I read "hurricane Dean"

in a good way

[RL3AO]

52. We could have a Category 5. Recon picked up high enough winds.

[malaise]

53. The Dean looks very serious

We're prepared for the worst. Funny that Mike Seidel from the Weather Channel checks into a tourist hotel in Montego Bay to tell the world Jamaicans are not preparing. Meanwhile outside of his bubble, hardware stores and supermarkets are packed with people.

[Jeanette in FL]

54. I am listening to his report right now, 8:30am

He is all the way up north in Montego Bay and is saying that he doesn't see the preparations going on and admits that maybe if he were in a smaller town he might see the preparations that are happening.

It does look beautiful where he is. Just a slight breeze.

Please stay safe, Malaise.