Felix now a CATEGORY 5 with 165 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS

[RL3AO]

053
WTNT31 KNHC 022359
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 02 2007

...FELIX NOW A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...

REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT FELIX
CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES...
625 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE TO BE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.


THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.


$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN

[RL3AO]

1. Recon has been aborted...it is too dangerous.

BECAUSE OF THE EXTREME TURBULENCE AND GROUPEL THAT THE AIRCRAFT EXPERIENCED...THE MISSION IS BEING ABORTED AND THE AIRCRAFT IS RETURNING TO ST. CROIX.

[tridim]

2. Whoa.. Didn't it just hit 4 about 6 hours ago?

[RL3AO]

3. It was a 2 this morning.

[Ian David]

5. Anyone else reading "Forty Signs of Rain" right now?

# Mass Market Paperback - Reprint
# ISBN: 0553585800
# Pub. Date: July 2005



Online Price:
$7.99
Members Pay:
$7.19


Product Details
# ISBN: 0553585800
ISBN-13: 9780553585803
# Format: Mass Market Paperback, 432pp
# Publisher: Bantam Books
# Edition Description: Reprint
# Sales Rank: 23,099
From Our Editors
The Barnes & Noble Review
Forty Signs of Rain is the first book in Kim Stanley Robinson's trilogy of cautionary novels involving global warming and scrutinizing society's continued disregard of the increasingly perilous threat of the enhanced greenhouse effect.

Three unlikely protagonists -- Anna Quibler, a bioinformatics specialist at the National Science Foundation; her husband, Charlie, an environmental policy adviser; and Frank Vanderwal, a disgruntled NSF program director -- futilely try to make headway in a bureaucracy more concerned with maintaining the status quo than saving the human race. But when a massive Arctic Ocean ice pack breaks up, floods the surface of the North Atlantic with fresh water, and stalls the Atlantic current, it sets off a series of events that could trigger a new ice age. As extreme weather events thrash the world -- and entire countries sink beneath the rising water -- Anna, Charlie, and Frank begin to make some headway. But isn't all too little too late?

Forty Signs of Rain isn't so much an end-of-the-world thriller (like Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle's Lucifer's Hammer) as it is a thinly veiled indictment of the often-adversarial relationship between science and politics in the United States. Why has the government done little or nothing to actively combat global warming? "An excess of reason is itself a form of madness…" Paul Goat Allen


http://search.barnesandnoble.com/booksearch/isbnInquiry.asp?z=y&EAN=9780553585803&itm=1

[Nevernose]

12. Was that the guy who wrote the Mars books a few years ago?

If so, I may have to go pick up a copy.

[Ian David]

19. Yep, same guy. n/t

[BadgerLaw2010]

7. Dropped 22 millibars in three hours...

[Renew Deal]

14. I checked the news 3 times today

And it strengthened every time. 3, 4, 5 :wow:

[Jacobin]

4. wow that was fast

Hope for the best for central americans in its path

[uppityperson]

6. Indeed, hoping the thing weakens and people are safe.

[Alacrat]

8. Check out this link, Felix animation.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

Thats about as well defined as it gets. Scarey storm, and it's expected to take the same track as the last one. Getting slammed back to back is terrible.

[malaise]

9. I have a feeling that Cozumel is in more trouble than Belize

Stay safe my Central American sisters and brothers

[Lisa0825]

13. Current models have it aimed right at Belize.

The predicted path looks much like Dean, only a bit farther south. The Yucatan isn't catching a break so far this season :-(

[pinto]

10. Kick.

[pinto]

11. Latest Hurricane Center estimates.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0607_PROB34_F120_sm2+gif/000023.gif

[JerseygirlCT]

15. And global warming is a myth, right?

That's why suddenly 5's are happening several times a season now?

[RL3AO]

16. There were 2 Cat 5s in both 1960 and 1961.

Also, your not getting these storms because of warmer waters, it is because of lower shear.

[HughMoran]

18. Yeah, global warming is real, but not necessarily effecting these storms

I am not a big fan of conflating the two without any real evidence that the two are related.

[HughMoran]

17. Felix is pissed