How will losing Mexican oil imports affect us?

[Subdivisions]

http://www.sptimes.com/2007/09/24/Worldandnation/Analysts_watch__wince.shtml">Analysts watch, wince as Mexico's oil supply dwindles

They warn of an irreversible output decline.

"Mexico's oil production is in decline. There's probably no way to stop it," said Mike Rodgers, an expert at one of the top oil industry consulting firms, PFC Energy in Houston.

Mexico is the second largest supplier of oil to the United States (about 1.5-million barrels a day). But output from its major fields is dwindling fast, according to official figures from the state-owned oil giant Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex). The country's known oil reserves will run out in nine years, the government says, potentially undermining the nation's oil-dependent budget.

Mexico's decline only adds more pressure to prices in a tight global oil market, which hit $83 a barrel Thursday. Worse still, its emptying wells are only a reflection of a global decline in aging oil fields around the world.

With no major oil fields left to discover, analysts say the world is approaching "peak oil," the moment at which oil production hits its maximum capacity and slowly starts to fall.

Beginning in just a year's time, Peak Oil will emerge as the defining event of every living person's life in these United States. In just five years' time, we will be suffering energy resource depletion that will devastate our civilization. In ten years' time, more than half of the world's population will have died off from the effects of oil depletion and the wars that will surely be fought by countries desperate to secure their energy needs, especially the ones whose lifestyles were once considered non-negotiable.

We are already past the point of no return.

[MADem]

1. Ooops, we'll have to turn FLORIDA into a hideous nest of offshore oil rigs, I guess!!

All those retired Republicans with their lovely sea views? Fuck YOU, pals!!! The Black Gold means more than your pretty vista, there, Bubba! And we KNOW there's oil in them thar protected areas! At least until BushCo can buy up all of Paraguay and start growing "switchgrass" by the millions of hectares!!!

[kenny blankenship]

2. It means YOU'RE NEXT, CHAVEZ !!!

[Javaman]

3. It's already starting....

over the past several months rebel groups in Mexico have bombed many of the pipelines in that country halting production for several days at a time to many of it's industries.

just running out of oil will be bad enough, but couple that with disenfranchised people of the oil producing nations and you get situations like we are seeing now in Mexico and in Nigeria with the group MEND.

Needless to say, the Iraq war in the middle east has show that a few people with bombs can prove to be very effective in holding the industrialized world by the short hairs.

Many oil producing nations are now reporting similar acts by various rebel organizations around the world committing such attacks.

The down side, needless to say, won't be pretty, but it will be also filled with desperate people trying to hold onto something that will no longer exist in a very short time.

First it starts with the 3rd world nations. Ironically, may third world nations also produce oil. Odd isn't it? No spreading of the wealth there.

Then as the disruptions become more and more wide spread, it will then start effecting the leaders of the world. It already has. Anyone still recall $1.20 gas? seems quaint now, doesn't it?

As the taps run dry in Mexico, one of two things will happen. Either Mexico will start charging more for their oil or they will keep it to themselves.

The first country to do this and defy the US of their precious life's blood, will, no doubt be followed by others. Now if there ever was a domino theory to bank on, it would be that.

China and India are growing in leaps and bounds daily and so is their oil needs.

There will hit a break point. When it does it will be very interesting to see how they will react. We already know how we will react. It won't be pretty

If Mexico cuts off the spigot tomorrow?
we will have to due without, yet the mexican trucks now being allowed in the country will have free reign. Hmmm, planned all along?

It will only get worse from there. First the gas as the pump will go up, then the price of mass transit will go up. Price for basic foods will go up. anything made of plastic will go up. anything that uses oil will go up. (which is basically everything in our society)

It won't happen all at once, but over time and before you know it. we will be in the middle of it.

My advice? get rain barrels and start a garden now. After that, compost everything, remember diesel runs the garbage trucks. Stop buying anything plastic as much as possible. Then learn how to preserve food. Get to know your neighbors. Ride your bike more. Take a first aid class.

You can either continue to walk toward the cliff or stop and turn around. There is no lock on the cage.