Why is the media stating that McCain has a mathematical lock on the GOP nomination?

[wuushew]

half of 2,380 is 1,190 of which McCain only has 812.

Why is it assumed that because it is impossible for Huckabee to get over 50% that invariably McCain will? This seems like a very basic and sloppy mistake of journalism.


http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#val=R

[LakeSamish706]

1. And I would say that the Huckabee people agree 100% with your post...

and that is exactly why he is staying in this race until someone does reach that magic # of 1190.

[Caution]

2. Because the remaining GOP delegates are not allocated as "winner take all"

Huckabee would need to achieve victories greater than 70% in the remaining states to take enough delegates.

[wuushew]

3. Yes, but that makes it improbable not impossible

there is a difference.

[bryant69]

4. Well I suppose there are elements story that aren't mathematical

What are McCain's chances of getting to 1,190 in the remaining states? Of those delegate who are pledged to a candidate who has since dropped out, are they likely to go to McCain or to Huckabee?

Bryant
Check it out --> http://politicalcomment.blogspot.com

[ReformedChris]

5. Huckleberry wants to finish 2nd for 2012 and state his "dominance" over Romney if they run again..

He would be wise to take the VP slot now instead of waiting for the big job again in 2012. 4 years is an eternity in politics and I don't think he is the total package the Repukes look for. He would get crushed by a President Obama, they would'nt trot him out there against a President Hillary Clinton.

[liberal N proud]

6. He is the chosen one

has been since 2000, that is why he did all the, thank you sir, may I have another bu$h hugging for the last 7 years.

[godai]

7. I saw a graphical demo on CNN which proved this...

Even if Huckabee wins every primary from here on out, he still wouldn't get enough delegates, unless McCain gets little or no votes, which won't happen.

[wuushew]

8. Don't the vanquished candidates have the option of donating their delegates?

Again McCain can't technically win before winning everything between Guam(Feb 16th) and Indiana(May 6th)

[hiaasenrocks]

9. Huckabee wouldn't get enough, but McCain *could* suffer the same fate.

It's mathematically possible, but not probable.

If it were to play out that way, this would go to the convention and Huckabee says he thinks he would emerge as the nominee b/c he says he's the "real conservative."

[wuushew]

10. Why must Romney go out of his way to spite me?

:shrug:


Romney collected 280 delegates during his run through the early primaries and caucuses, enough to move McCain close to the total of 1,191 needed to clinch the nomination a full nine months before the November general election.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23168380/