Bush’s Popularity: A (Really) New Low?
By The Editorial Board
The American Research Group, a well-known polling organization, released a pretty surprising poll yesterday putting President Bush’s approval rating at a new low: just 19 percent.
According to the poll, only 19 percent of the 1,100 people surveyed by telephone approved of the way Mr. Bush is handling his job as president, while 77 percent disapprove.
That is a sharp drop from a month ago, when ARG reported that 34 percent of those surveyed approved, and below the 25 percent approval rating ARG reported last October.
Other polls have Mr. Bush’s popularity sliding as he enters his final year in office — including a recent CBS poll that put his approval at 27 percent — but ARG’s number is far below the rest of the pack.
One reason may be that ARG preceded its question about Mr. Bush’s popularity by asking a series of questions about the economy. It may be that by making survey respondents first focus on pocketbook issues — including fears of a recession — the poll got people into a frame of mind not favorable to Mr. Bush.
Another factor may be the election. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have been pounding away at Mr. Bush day after day, while the Republican candidates have not been defending him.
Dick Bennett, the president of ARG, says the biggest factor in Mr. Bush’s slide has been a loss of support among Republicans. (That, of course, is the main group among which he could lose support — Democrats and independents already didn’t like him.)
The main reason, Mr. Bennett says, was concern about the economy — and respondents’ fears about it affecting them personally.
Of course, sometimes polls just get things wrong, and ARG’s February numbers on Mr. Bush could simply be an outlier.
What do you think? Has President Bush lost that much of his remaining support? If so, what is behind this additional disaffection?
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