By EILEEN ALT POWELL, AP Business Writer
NEW YORK - A gauge of future economic activity dropped in February for the fifth consecutive month, suggesting that the weakening U.S economy could, indeed, be slipping into recession.
The Conference Board said Thursday that its index of leading economic indicators fell 0.3 percent last month to 135.0 after dipping a revised 0.4 percent in January. The February reading was in line with the 0.3 percent decline expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial/IFR.
The index is designed to forecast where the nation's economy is headed in the next three to six months.
Many economists believe rising gas prices, falling home prices and tightening credit markets have begun squeezing consumers and businesses, forcing them to cut spending. As a result, the U.S. economy may have stopped growing in the current quarter and could continue faltering in the second quarter. That would meet a technical definition of a recession — two consecutive quarters of negative growth.
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