North Carolina polls.

[ccharles000]

NC-Gov: Perdue (D) Closes Gap
by: DavidNYC
Thu Jun 12, 2008 at 7:22 PM EDT

Rasmussen Reports (6/10, likely voters, 5/8 in parens):

Perdue (D): 47 (39)
McCrory (R): 46 (45)
Other: 1 (10)*
Undecided: 6 (2)
(MoE: ±4%)
*(May poll included Libertarian Michael Munger, who took 4%.)
Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory has materially better favorables (59-24) than Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue (52-38), yet the latter was still able to close the gap. Most prognosticators say that this race leans Dem, but all the polling so far (apart from one slight outlier from SUSA) makes this look more like a tossup, at least for now.

NC-Sen: Dole Resumes Her Lead
by: DavidNYC
Thu Jun 12, 2008 at 7:05 PM EDT

Rasmussen Reports (6/10, likely voters, 5/8 in parens):

Hagan (D): 39 (48)
Dole (R-inc.): 53 (47)
Other: 3 (2)
Undecided: 5 (3)
(MoE: ±4%)
A fourteen-point swing in one month is the kind of thing which always calls one poll or the other into question. In this case, though, we have a third poll to go by. Rasmussen tested the waters here in April and found Dole leading 52-39. That sure makes the middle poll from May look like noise, which Ras suggests may have been due to a post-primary bounce for Hagan. Since then, Dole's gone up with TV ads, which might have helped bring Hagan down to earth.

Dole is doing very well among Republicans, winning them 90-6. Hagan, meawhile, is at just 68-25 among Dems. Frustratingly, Rasmussen refuses to detail the makeup of its samples (even though they provide crosstabs) so we have no idea what the D-R-I split was here.

The news on the presidential front is a lot better: McCain edges Obama by just two points, 45-43. Note, though, that Rasmussen has shown NC-Pres virtually tied for three months, with no bounces or dips as with NC-Sen. Still, though, I like the prospect of Obama coattails here.

SSP currently races this race as Lean Republican.

http://swingstateproject.com/