One of the more influential is the London-based International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS). In early May, 2007 they published a paper accusing Iran of continuing to be Khan's biggest customer, and claimed a US attack would result.
This is a continuation of accusations they've been making for years that contradict the CIA's recent assessment that there is no solid evidence the program continued after 2003. IISS seems to have some problems assessing the situation
For instance IISS reportedly predicted, incorrectly, two years ago that the US would attack Iran, using its nuclear program as a pretext, but because things weren't working out in Iraq:
http://www.buzzflash.com/mediawatch/06/03/wmw06027.htmlMARCH 8, 2006
1//Gulf News Online, United Arab Emirates--AMERICAN ATTACK ON IRAN ‘LIKELY’ (The quagmire that America finds itself in Iraq "makes an attack against Iran more likely," according to the Oxford Research Group. The comments came as Iran was accused of seeking weapons of mass destruction. "The evidence points to Iran building a bomb," the International Institute of Strategic Studies told Gulf News. … The Oxford Research Group is the leading organisation in its field, facilitating dialogue. It has close connections with the highest levels of the British government and is acutely aware of the issues of the day. … "Well, they haven't got Iraq right, which means it is more likely that they will take action against Iran. But there is one other major issue here that America is worried by and that is China. Iran has just signed a $70 billion oil deal with China. This worries America. The geo-politics of oil and the Middle east over the next 30 years is what this is about." … The International Institute of Strategic Studies increased the pressure on Teheran when it told Gulf News that it now believes Iran wants a nuclear weapon. "The cumulative evidence suggests that Iran is building nuclear weapons," said Mark Fitzpatrick of the IISS, a think-tank that examines the global military situation. ... "We are perhaps about 4-6 months from a turning point." This does not mean that Iran will have a physical bomb, that is still about three years away, but it does suggests a time when the knowledge and basic framework needed to produce a bomb come together or at least will be apparent to Teheran. The IISS is considered "left wing in America and right wing in Europe." It reflects Washington's foreign policy through a European prism. What its says carries weight through the fact that it echoes official Washington viewpoints for an audience that is not American.)
And, last year they again cried wolf:
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0504/p07s01-wosc.htmlISLAMABAD, Pakistan - The jury is still out as to whether Pakistan's nuclear proliferation network, run by scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan, is truly dead. But evidence presented this week, by the London-based think tank, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), suggests it is not and raises new questions about how that network accommodated Iran's nuclear ambitions.
The report reveals that Mr. Khan "provided Iran with centrifuges, technical designs, components, and an 'address book' of suppliers" and also claims that pieces of Khan's network could still be in operation.
Iran has denied that Pakistani nuclear scientists aided its nuclear program, which it maintains is for peaceful civilian purposes. But the IISS's report suggests that "at least some of Khan's associates appear to have escaped law-enforcement attention and could, after a period of lying low, resume their black-market business."
Now, it's 2008, and the drumbeat goes on. Same beat, same message.